Switzerland2026-27 seasonNational League predictions
4 of 7 National League picks landed in the last seven days.
- Games played
- 99/364
- Teams
- 14
- Home wins
- 57%
- Our picks right
- 57%
Today, Saturday, October 24 — National League: 5 games
The strongest pick is Ambrì-Piotta against Ajoie: 63% to win, with a projected 3–2. The closest call is Lausanne vs Fribourg-Gottéron, 51% for Lausanne and a projected 3–2. The highest projected total is 5 goals, in Biel vs Zug.
Every game below has a win probability (overtime and shootout included), a projected score and lines for the puck line and total goals; where bookmakers price a game, the pick leans toward their consensus. Over the 2023–24 season the model called 60% of National League winners (408 games), against 58% for always backing the home team.
Next games
- Biel2Zug3Zug53%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Zug edge it at 53%, projected 2–3. Market odds for the pick: 1.85.
- EHC Kloten3Rapperswil-Jona2EHC Kloten52%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: EHC Kloten edge it at 52%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.83.
- Langnau Tigers2Davos3Davos51%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Davos edge it at 51%, projected 2–3. Market odds for the pick: 1.62.
- Lausanne3Fribourg-Gottéron2Lausanne51%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Lausanne edge it at 51%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.80.
- Ambrì-Piotta3Ajoie2Ambrì-Piotta63%LeanLean
Lean: Ambrì-Piotta at 63%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.40.
- Bern3Lugano2Bern60%LeanLean
Lean: Bern at 60%, projected 3–2.
- Genève-Servette2ZSC Lions3ZSC Lions57%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: ZSC Lions edge it at 57%, projected 2–3.
- Lausanne3Langnau Tigers2Lausanne51%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Lausanne edge it at 51%, projected 3–2.
- Zug3Lugano2Zug64%LeanLean
Lean: Zug at 64%, projected 3–2.
- Rapperswil-Jona2Genève-Servette3Genève-Servette50%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Genève-Servette edge it at 50%, projected 2–3.
- Bern2ZSC Lions3ZSC Lions51%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: ZSC Lions edge it at 51%, projected 2–3.
- Fribourg-Gottéron3Davos2Fribourg-Gottéron65%LeanLean
Lean: Fribourg-Gottéron at 65%, projected 3–2.
- EHC Kloten2Ajoie3Ajoie53%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Ajoie edge it at 53%, projected 2–3.
- Ambrì-Piotta3Biel2Ambrì-Piotta58%LeanLean
Lean: Ambrì-Piotta at 58%, projected 3–2.
- Langnau Tigers3Fribourg-Gottéron2Langnau Tigers50%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Langnau Tigers edge it at 50%, projected 3–2.
- Lugano3Lausanne2Lugano54%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Lugano edge it at 54%, projected 3–2.
- ZSC Lions3Ambrì-Piotta2ZSC Lions63%LeanLean
Lean: ZSC Lions at 63%, projected 3–2.
- Zug3Langnau Tigers2Zug60%LeanLean
Lean: Zug at 60%, projected 3–2.
- Davos3Rapperswil-Jona2Davos59%LeanLean
Lean: Davos at 59%, projected 3–2.
- Fribourg-Gottéron3Genève-Servette2Fribourg-Gottéron64%LeanLean
Lean: Fribourg-Gottéron at 64%, projected 3–2.
- Biel3EHC Kloten2Biel59%LeanLean
Lean: Biel at 59%, projected 3–2.
- Ajoie3Bern2Ajoie51%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Ajoie edge it at 51%, projected 3–2.
Recent results
- FinalDavos1Bern4Davos58%Pick missedPick missed
- FinalFribourg-Gottéron6Biel3Fribourg-Gottéron69%Pick landedPick landed
- FinalLugano2EHC Kloten5Lugano70%Pick missedPick missed
- FinalAjoie5Genève-Servette0Genève-Servette53%Pick missedPick missed
- FinalZug4Lausanne1Zug58%Pick landedPick landed
- FinalZSC Lions3Langnau Tigers2ZSC Lions69%Pick landedPick landed
- FinalRapperswil-Jona6Ambrì-Piotta3Rapperswil-Jona51%Pick landedPick landed
How the National League season works
The National League is Switzerland's top league: fourteen clubs play 52 rounds from September to March. A regulation win is worth three points, a win after overtime or a shootout two, and a loss after overtime or a shootout one.
The top six go straight to the quarter-finals, seventh to tenth play a play-in for the last two places, and the playoffs are best of seven.
Using the National League picks
Each game shows the moneyline (overtime and shootout included), the regulation result with the draw, a puck line and a total. Home teams win more often in the National League than in most leagues we cover, and the model measures that edge for the league. Ratings come from this season's results, blended with the betting market where bookmakers price the game.
Our National League record
Before launch the model was tested on the 2023–24 National League season, predicting each game only from the games before it, against always backing the home team and the team with the better points record. The test and the live record are on the accuracy page.
National League predictions: questions
- How many points is a win worth in the National League?
- Three for a win in regulation, two for a win after overtime or a shootout, one for a loss after overtime or a shootout.
- How does the National League play-in work?
- The top six go straight to the quarter-finals. The teams in seventh to tenth play the play-in for the last two places, and from the quarter-finals on the series are best of seven.
- Is there relegation from the National League?
- Only through a qualification series: the last club can lose its place to the champion of the Swiss League when that club meets the National League's requirements.
- How accurate are the National League predictions?
- The model was tested on the whole 2023–24 season, predicting each game only from the games before it: it called 60% of National League winners in 408 games, against 58% for always backing the home team. Every new pick is settled in public on the accuracy page.
- How many goals are scored in National League games?
- Finished National League games this season have averaged 6 goals in total, and the home team has won 57% of them. Each game's own projected total is on its prediction page.
- When are National League predictions published?
- Up to 7 days before the face-off. Each prediction is updated as the betting market moves, until the game starts.
- What do the puck line and the total mean?
- The puck line is hockey's handicap: −1.5 means the favourite has to win by two goals or more, +1.5 that the underdog covers if it wins or loses by one. A win after overtime or a shootout is always by one goal. The total is the number of goals both teams score together, overtime included and a shootout counted as one goal; the over/under pick says whether the game should finish above or below the line.
- Are the National League predictions free?
- Yes. The win probability, projected score, puck line and total goals of every National League game are free to read, with no sign-up.
- How are the predictions made?
- Each team gets attack and defence ratings from this season's games in regulation, weighted toward recent form and adjusted for the opponents faced, plus a home-ice edge measured for each league. A Poisson model turns them into the chance of every score, ties go to overtime and the shootout, and where bookmakers price a game the model is blended with their consensus.