National League

Langnau Tigers vs Davos prediction

Langnau Tigers7–6–2 · Home Davos6–8–1 · Away07:45 PMOct 24

49%win chance incl. overtime51%

Our pick

51%DAV51%DAV

Davos to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.95 · projected 2–3

Davos are the pick to win on the road against Langnau Tigers at 51%, overtime and shootout included, with a projected 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

LANLangnau Tigers in 60'

39%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

DAVDavos in 60'

40%

Game flow

LAN 3.2 · DAV 2.5 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.1–0.5

P2 · 0.7–0.8

P3 · 1.4–1.2

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Davos51%1.95
Regulation result (60 minutes)Davos40%2.50
Puck lineLangnau Tigers +1.573%1.36
Total goalsUnder 5.551%1.95
Both teams to scoreYes87%1.15

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Davos

51%fair 1.95

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Davos

40%fair 2.50

Puck line

Langnau Tigers +1.5

73%fair 1.36

Total goals

Under 5.5

51%fair 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes

87%fair 1.15

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

J. SchmutzLAN · 7 G in 15 GP · 15 GP7328%3.55
F. ZadinaDAV · 6 G in 15 GP · 15 GP6626%3.81
B. LemieuxDAV · 5 G in 12 GP · 12 GP5324%4.11
J. BachofnerLAN · 5 G in 14 GP · 14 GP5424%4.13
S. MaenalanenLAN · 5 G in 14 GP · 14 GP5222%4.62
J. DahlenLAN · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4218%5.42
V. NussbaumerDAV · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3017%5.96
E. PetterssonLAN · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3116%6.08
F. AllardDAV · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3316%6.10
T. KesslerDAV · 3 G in 15 GP · 15 GP3215%6.56

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Langnau Tigers vs Davos?

Davos are the pick to win on the road against Langnau Tigers at 51%, overtime and shootout included, with a projected 3–2 final.

This is a lean, not a conviction: the model puts Davos at 51% across all outcomes, which is barely more than a coin flip, and the 3–2 projection says the game should be decided by a single goal. The margin is thin enough that the result could turn on one bounce or one special-teams shift.

Langnau Tigers sit 7th and Davos 10th, yet the two recent form lines are almost identical in goals allowed: both have conceded 3.2 a game over their last five. Langnau Tigers have won 1 of those five while scoring 2.4; Davos have won 2 while scoring 2.0, so neither side arrives with much momentum behind it.

The ratings tell a different story from the table. Adjusted for opponents, Langnau Tigers rate +0.16 goals per game against an average team and Davos −0.21, an edge of 0.37 goals to the home side, and home ice is worth about 0.29 goals a game in this league. That is why the model's Davos lean is so slight despite the head-to-head: the teams have met once recently, a 4–1 Davos win on 2026-09-15, and the market has taken note, pricing Davos at 56% on the moneyline once the bookmaker margin is removed across 8 bookmakers.

In regulation the model gives Davos 40% to win inside 60 minutes and puts a tie after three periods at 21%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout. That structure explains how a team projected to lose the even-strength battle can still be the favourite on the full result.

The projected 3–2 final sits just under the 5.5 line, and the under lands 51% on our numbers against a projected 5.9 goals, so the total is close to a split. On the puck line, Davos −1.5 comes in only 26% of the time, which fits a game the model expects to be decided by one goal; the moneyline price of 56% for Davos is the more defensible side of the market than the handicap.

Take Davos to win, overtime and shootout included, at 51%, with a projected 3–2 final.