Czech Extraliga predictions
- Games played
- 85/364
- Teams
- 14
- Home wins
- 55%
- Avg goals
- 6
Today, Friday, October 23 — Czech Extraliga: 6 games
The strongest pick is Trinec against Ceske Budejovice: 71% to win, with a projected 3–2. The closest call is Liberec vs Sparta Prague, 50% for Liberec and a projected 3–2. The highest projected total is 5 goals, in Trinec vs Ceske Budejovice.
Every game below has a win probability (overtime and shootout included), a projected score and lines for the puck line and total goals; where bookmakers price a game, the pick leans toward their consensus. Over the 2023–24 season the model called 65% of Czech Extraliga winners (422 games), against 55% for always backing the home team.
Next games
- Trinec3Ceske Budejovice2Trinec71%StrongStrong
Strong pick: Trinec at 71%, projected 3–2, a 1-goal margin. Market odds for the pick: 1.27.
- Litvinov2Plzen3Plzen54%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Plzen edge it at 54%, projected 2–3. Market odds for the pick: 1.68.
- Vitkovice2Kometa Brno3Kometa Brno52%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Kometa Brno edge it at 52%, projected 2–3. Market odds for the pick: 1.75.
- Kladno2Pardubice3Pardubice60%LeanLean
Lean: Pardubice at 60%, projected 2–3. Market odds for the pick: 1.54.
- Liberec3Sparta Prague2Liberec50%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Liberec edge it at 50%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.89.
- Mountfield HK3Karlovy Vary2Mountfield HK52%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Mountfield HK edge it at 52%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.77.
- Sparta Prague3Olomouc2Sparta Prague77%StrongStrong
Strong pick: Sparta Prague at 77%, projected 3–2, a 1-goal margin. Market odds for the pick: 1.16.
- Trinec3Karlovy Vary2Trinec67%StrongStrong
Strong pick: Trinec at 67%, projected 3–2, a 1-goal margin. Market odds for the pick: 1.37.
- Mlada Boleslav3Ceske Budejovice2Mlada Boleslav50%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Mlada Boleslav edge it at 50%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.80.
- Liberec3Plzen2Liberec55%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Liberec edge it at 55%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.70.
- Kladno3Vitkovice2Kladno64%LeanLean
Lean: Kladno at 64%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.40.
- Mountfield HK2Pardubice3Pardubice55%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Pardubice edge it at 55%, projected 2–3. Market odds for the pick: 1.70.
- Litvinov3Kometa Brno2Litvinov50%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Litvinov edge it at 50%, projected 3–2. Market odds for the pick: 1.89.
Recent results
How the Czech Extraliga season works
The Czech Extraliga is the top league of Czech hockey: fourteen clubs play 52 rounds from September to March. A regulation win is worth three points, a win after overtime or a shootout two, and a loss after overtime or a shootout one.
The top six go straight to the quarter-finals, seventh to tenth play a pre-playoff round, and the bottom club can lose its place to the best of the second tier.
Using the Extraliga picks
Each game shows the moneyline (overtime and shootout included), the regulation result with the draw, a puck line and a total. Ratings come from this season's Extraliga results, with the league's own home-ice edge, blended with the betting market where bookmakers price the game.
Our Extraliga record
Before launch the model was tested on the 2023–24 Extraliga season, predicting each game only from the games before it; it was its best league in that test. The test and the live record are on the accuracy page.
Czech Extraliga predictions: questions
- How many points is a win worth in the Extraliga?
- Three for a win in regulation, two for a win after overtime or a shootout, one for a loss after overtime or a shootout.
- Are Extraliga predictions free?
- Yes. The win probability and projected score of every Extraliga game are free to read, with no sign-up.
- When are Extraliga predictions published?
- Up to three days before the face-off, and they update until the game starts.
- How accurate are the Czech Extraliga predictions?
- The model was tested on the whole 2023–24 season, predicting each game only from the games before it: it called 65% of Czech Extraliga winners in 422 games, against 55% for always backing the home team. Every new pick is settled in public on the accuracy page.
- How many goals are scored in Czech Extraliga games?
- Finished Czech Extraliga games this season have averaged 6 goals in total, and the home team has won 55% of them. Each game's own projected total is on its prediction page.
- When are Czech Extraliga predictions published?
- Up to 3 days before the face-off. Each prediction is updated as the betting market moves, until the game starts.
- What do the puck line and the total mean?
- The puck line is hockey's handicap: −1.5 means the favourite has to win by two goals or more, +1.5 that the underdog covers if it wins or loses by one. A win after overtime or a shootout is always by one goal. The total is the number of goals both teams score together, overtime included and a shootout counted as one goal; the over/under pick says whether the game should finish above or below the line.
- Are the Czech Extraliga predictions free?
- Yes. The win probability, projected score, puck line and total goals of every Czech Extraliga game are free to read, with no sign-up.
- How are the predictions made?
- Each team gets attack and defence ratings from this season's games in regulation, weighted toward recent form and adjusted for the opponents faced, plus a home-ice edge measured for each league. A Poisson model turns them into the chance of every score, ties go to overtime and the shootout, and where bookmakers price a game the model is blended with their consensus.

