Czech Extraliga

Plzeň vs Olomouc prediction

Plzeň7–4–1 · Home Olomouc2–10–0 · Away05:30 PMOct 27

64%win chance incl. overtime36%

Our pick

64%PLZ64%PLZ

Plzeň to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.55 · projected 3–2

The numbers side with Plzen (64%) at home against Olomouc, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

PLZPlzeň in 60'

54%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

OLOOlomouc in 60'

26%

Game flow

PLZ 2.9 · OLO 2.1 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.7–0.5

P2 · 1.3–0.5

P3 · 1.0–1.1

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Plzeň64%1.55
Regulation result (60 minutes)Plzeň54%1.86
Puck lineOlomouc +1.564%1.57
Total goalsUnder 5.561%1.65
Both teams to scoreYes84%1.19

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Plzeň

64%fair 1.55

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Plzeň

54%fair 1.86

Puck line

Olomouc +1.5

64%fair 1.57

Total goals

Under 5.5

61%fair 1.65

Both teams to score

Yes

84%fair 1.19

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

A. MechuraPLZ · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6332%3.13
V. PetmanPLZ · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4325%4.05
M. TeplyPLZ · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4322%4.58
J. KosOLO · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4321%4.75
J. NavratilOLO · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4320%4.96
C. RobertsonPLZ · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3420%5.03
K. RubinsPLZ · 2 G in 11 GP · 11 GP2216%6.17
K. J. PlasekOLO · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3014%7.10
P. GewieseOLO · 2 G in 13 GP · 13 GP2012%8.40
D. HercikOLO · 2 G in 13 GP · 13 GP2111%9.04

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Plzeň vs Olomouc?

The numbers side with Plzen (64%) at home against Olomouc, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Plzen have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch. Olomouc have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 1.4 and allowing 3.4 goals a game over that stretch.

Plzen sit 6th, while Olomouc sit 14th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Plzen rate −0.02 and Olomouc −0.70 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.69 goals to Plzen. Home ice is worth about 0.15 goals a game in this league.

About 20% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Plzen win it in regulation only 54% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 64%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Plzen 0, Olomouc 1); the latest finished Olomouc 3–2 Plzen on 2026-09-18.

Our own lines for this game: Plzen −1.5 on the puck line (36%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 61% (5.3 projected).

Plzen to win, overtime and shootout included (64%). Projected score: 3–2.