Czech Extraliga

Kometa Brno vs Třinec prediction

Kometa Brno6–5–2 · Home Třinec11–1–1 · Away06:00 PMOct 28

39%win chance incl. overtime61%

Our pick

61%TŘI61%TŘI

Třinec to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.64 · projected 2–3

Our model makes Třinec 61% favourites on the road against Kometa Brno, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

KOMKometa Brno in 60'

30%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

TŘITřinec in 60'

51%

Game flow

KOM 2.5 · TŘI 3.1 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–0.8

P2 · 0.6–1.0

P3 · 0.9–1.3

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Třinec61%1.64
Regulation result (60 minutes)Třinec51%1.97
Puck lineKometa Brno +1.566%1.52
Total goalsUnder 5.551%1.95
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.14

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Třinec

61%fair 1.64

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Třinec

51%fair 1.97

Puck line

Kometa Brno +1.5

66%fair 1.52

Total goals

Under 5.5

51%fair 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.14

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

R. LeinoKOM · 6 G in 12 GP · 12 GP6426%3.79
D. VozenilekTŘI · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7424%4.16
F. PyrochtaTŘI · 5 G in 10 GP · 10 GP5223%4.39
M. KubiesaTŘI · 5 G in 10 GP · 10 GP5423%4.41
O. KovarcikTŘI · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5220%4.89
M. DanoTŘI · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4319%5.15
J. FlekKOM · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4119%5.36
A. IrvingKOM · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2217%5.87
H. ZohornaKOM · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3117%5.96
F. KralKOM · 2 G in 10 GP · 10 GP2115%6.78

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (4)

D. Vozenilek · Zoner60, CC BY-SA 4.0
M. Kubiesa · Zoner60, CC0
O. Kovarcik · Zoner60, CC BY-SA 4.0
M. Dano · Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Who will win Kometa Brno vs Třinec?

Our model makes Třinec 61% favourites on the road against Kometa Brno, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Kometa Brno have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 1.8 and allowing 2.0 goals a game over that stretch. Třinec have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.2 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch.

Kometa Brno sit 11th, while Třinec sit 1st.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Kometa Brno rate −0.10 and Třinec +0.71 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.81 goals to Třinec. Home ice is worth about 0.14 goals a game in this league.

About 20% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Třinec win it in regulation only 51% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 61%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Kometa Brno 0, Třinec 1); the latest finished Třinec 6–5 Kometa Brno on 2026-09-18.

Our own lines for this game: Třinec −1.5 on the puck line (34%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 51% (5.8 projected).

Třinec to win, overtime and shootout included (61%). Projected score: 3–2.