NHL

Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers prediction

Winnipeg Jets4–3–3 · Home Florida Panthers5–4–2 · Away08:00 PMOct 27

55%win chance incl. overtime45%

Our pick

55%WIN55%WIN

Winnipeg Jets to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.81 · projected 3–2

Our model makes Winnipeg Jets 55% favourites at home against Florida Panthers, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

WINWinnipeg Jets in 60'

45%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

FLOFlorida Panthers in 60'

34%

Game flow

WIN 2.9 · FLO 2.6 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–0.7

P2 · 1.0–0.9

P3 · 1.0–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Winnipeg Jets55%1.81
Regulation result (60 minutes)Winnipeg Jets45%2.24
Puck lineFlorida Panthers +1.571%1.41
Total goalsUnder 5.552%1.93
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.13

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Winnipeg Jets

55%fair 1.81

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Winnipeg Jets

45%fair 2.24

Puck line

Florida Panthers +1.5

71%fair 1.41

Total goals

Under 5.5

52%fair 1.93

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.13

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Lines

Lines from the last game · may change

Winnipeg Jets

Last game: Oct 22

74SkinnerProjected

KC81ConnorLW MS55ScheifeleC CP91PerfettiRW

1st line

10:34 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
81	Kyle Connor LW	23:02	9	3	12
55	Mark Scheifele C	23:40	2	5	7
91	Cole Perfetti RW	19:00	6	2	8

27 points this season

BY29YagerLW AL17LowryC IR27RosenRW

2nd line

8:40 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
29	Brayden Yager LW	14:38	0	0	0
17	Adam Lowry C	16:37	1	3	4
27	Isak Rosen RW	15:18	0	1	1

5 points this season

AI9IafalloLW GV13VilardiC VB61BjörckRW

3rd line

7:13 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
9	Alex Iafallo LW	12:39	3	2	5
13	Gabriel Vilardi C	19:41	1	3	4
61	Viggo Björck RW	12:43	0	0	0

9 points this season

BL93LambertLW MB36BarronC NN62NiederreiterRW

4th line

4:58 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	A	P
93	Brad Lambert LW	7:10	1	1
36	Morgan Barron C	14:23	2	2
62	Nino Niederreiter RW	9:52	0	0

3 points this season

NP4PionkD DS54SambergD

1st pair

14:42 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
4	Neal Pionk D	29:42	1	7	8
54	Dylan Samberg D	22:19	0	3	3

11 points this season

DD2DemeloD MF38FerraroD

2nd pair

11:24 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
2	Dylan Demelo D	22:41	1	2	3
38	Mario Ferraro D	19:23	1	0	1

4 points this season

HF24FleuryD TB77BauerD

3rd pair

4:22 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
24	Haydn Fleury D	14:10	0	0	0
77	Tyrel Bauer D	9:00	0	0	0

0 points this season

MS55ScheifeleF KC81ConnorF GV13VilardiF

CP91PerfettiF NP4PionkD

Power play unit 1

5:20 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
55	Mark Scheifele F	23:40	2	5	7
81	Kyle Connor F	23:02	9	3	12
13	Gabriel Vilardi F	19:41	1	3	4
91	Cole Perfetti F	19:00	6	2	8
4	Neal Pionk D	29:42	1	7	8

39 points this season

IR27RosenF BY29YagerF VB61BjörckF

NN62NiederreiterF HF24FleuryD

Power play unit 2

1:41 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	A	P
27	Isak Rosen F	15:18	1	1
29	Brayden Yager F	14:38	0	0
61	Viggo Björck F	12:43	0	0
62	Nino Niederreiter F	9:52	0	0
24	Haydn Fleury D	14:10	0	0

1 points this season

AL17LowryF BY29YagerF

DD2DemeloD MF38FerraroD

Penalty kill unit 1

0:50 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
17	Adam Lowry F	16:37	1	3	4
29	Brayden Yager F	14:38	0	0	0
2	Dylan Demelo D	22:41	1	2	3
38	Mario Ferraro D	19:23	1	0	1

8 points this season

BY29YagerF MB36BarronF

NP4PionkD DS54SambergD

Penalty kill unit 2

0:50 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
29	Brayden Yager F	14:38	0	0	0
36	Morgan Barron F	14:23	0	2	2
4	Neal Pionk D	29:42	1	7	8
54	Dylan Samberg D	22:19	0	3	3

13 points this season

Goalies: Stuart Skinner #74 (Projected) · Clay Stevenson #33 (Backup)

Florida Panthers

Last game: Oct 22

GMarkstromProjected

LE20EllerLW SR13ReinhartC CV23VerhaegheRW

1st line

6:57 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
20	Lars Eller LW	19:29	0	5	5
13	Sam Reinhart C	20:29	5	3	8
23	Carter Verhaeghe RW	17:47	6	1	7

20 points this season

19TkachukLW SB9BennettC BT8TkachukRW

2nd line

10:11 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
19	Matthew Tkachuk LW	18:17	3	11	14
9	Sam Bennett C	18:58	3	3	6
8	Brady Tkachuk RW	17:22	7	3	10

30 points this season

CR29ReinhardtLW AL15LundellC EL27LuostarinenRW

3rd line

4:26 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
29	Cole Reinhardt LW	10:03	0	0	0
15	Anton Lundell C	17:01	1	2	3
27	Eetu Luostarinen RW	16:44	2	0	2

5 points this season

BI14ImamaLW

79SchwindtC GH21HathawayRW

4th line

7:17 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI
14	Bokondji Imama LW	9:31
79	Cole Schwindt C	9:39
21	Garnet Hathaway RW	9:50

0 points this season

SJ3JonesD NM77MikkolaD

1st pair

14:30 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
3	Seth Jones D	23:03	1	10	11
77	Niko Mikkola D	20:09	1	1	2

13 points this season

AE5EkbladD GF42ForslingD

2nd pair

14:03 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
5	Aaron Ekblad D	21:25	0	3	3
42	Gustav Forsling D	18:51	1	1	2

5 points this season

UB26BalinskisD DK7KulikovD

3rd pair

10:17 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
26	Uvis Balinskis D	14:09	0	1	1
7	Dmitry Kulikov D	14:08	0	2	2

3 points this season

SR13ReinhartF SB9BennettF

19TkachukF

BT8TkachukF SJ3JonesD

Power play unit 1

1:25 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
13	Sam Reinhart F	20:29	5	3	8
9	Sam Bennett F	18:58	3	3	6
19	Matthew Tkachuk F	18:17	3	11	14
8	Brady Tkachuk F	17:22	7	3	10
3	Seth Jones D	23:03	1	10	11

49 points this season

LE20EllerF SB9BennettF AL15LundellF

EL27LuostarinenF AE5EkbladD

Power play unit 2

0:49 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
20	Lars Eller F	19:29	0	5	5
9	Sam Bennett F	18:58	3	3	6
15	Anton Lundell F	17:01	1	2	3
27	Eetu Luostarinen F	16:44	2	0	2
5	Aaron Ekblad D	21:25	0	3	3

19 points this season

AL15LundellF EL27LuostarinenF

AE5EkbladD GF42ForslingD

Penalty kill unit 1

1:35 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
15	Anton Lundell F	17:01	1	2	3
27	Eetu Luostarinen F	16:44	2	0	2
5	Aaron Ekblad D	21:25	0	3	3
42	Gustav Forsling D	18:51	1	1	2

10 points this season

SR13ReinhartF

79SchwindtF

SJ3JonesD NM77MikkolaD

Penalty kill unit 2

0:33 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
13	Sam Reinhart F	20:29	5	3	8
79	Cole Schwindt F	9:39	0	0	0
3	Seth Jones D	23:03	1	10	11
77	Niko Mikkola D	20:09	1	1	2

21 points this season

Goalies: Jacob Markstrom (Projected) · Cooper Black #31 (Backup)

Swipe the rink to switch units

How we read the lines

From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.

Photo credits (6)

Stuart Skinner · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Clay Stevenson · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
Matthew Tkachuk · Jfvoll, CC BY-SA 4.0
Cole Schwindt · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
Akira Schmid · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Jacob Markstrom · Tlop2000, CC BY-SA 4.0

Goalie duel

Projected

Projected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop

Stuart Skinner WIN

.912 save percentage

2.67 GAA · 3–1–3 · 7 starts

Jacob Markstrom FLO

.897 save percentage

2.21 GAA · 3–1–1 · 1 shutout · 6 starts

Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.

Photo credits (2)

Stuart Skinner · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Jacob Markstrom · Tlop2000, CC BY-SA 4.0

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

Kyle ConnorWIN · LW · 9 G in 10 GP · 10 GP9441%2.41
Cole PerfettiWIN · C · 6 G in 10 GP · 10 GP6332%3.13
Brady TkachukFLO · LW · 7 G in 11 GP · 11 GP7932%3.14
Carter VerhaegheFLO · C · 6 G in 9 GP · 9 GP6629%3.40
Sam ReinhartFLO · C · 5 G in 6 GP · 6 GP5627%3.65
Alex IafalloWIN · LW · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3323%4.43
Mark ScheifeleWIN · C · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2419%5.25
Sam BennettFLO · C · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3319%5.39
Matthew TkachukFLO · LW · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3916%6.30
Cole KoepkeWIN · LW · 1 G in 5 GP · 5 GP1114%7.06

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (1)

Matthew Tkachuk · Jfvoll, CC BY-SA 4.0

All NHL goal scorer picks today

Who will win Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers?

Our model makes Winnipeg Jets 55% favourites at home against Florida Panthers, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Winnipeg Jets have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch. Florida Panthers have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.8 and allowing 3.4 goals a game over that stretch.

Winnipeg Jets sit 10th in the Western Conference, while Florida Panthers sit 9th in the Eastern Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Winnipeg Jets rate +0.02 and Florida Panthers −0.06 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.07 goals to Winnipeg Jets. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Winnipeg Jets 45% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 21%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

Our own lines for this game: Winnipeg Jets −1.5 on the puck line (29%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 52% (5.8 projected).

Winnipeg Jets to win, overtime and shootout included (55%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Team leaders

Winnipeg JetsThis seasonFlorida Panthers

Points
Kyle Connor7 games12 Matthew Tkachuk9 games14
Goals
Kyle Connor7 games9 Brady Tkachuk8 games7
Assists
Neal Pionk6 games7 Matthew Tkachuk9 games11
Penalty minutes
Tyrel Bauer3 games16 Bokondji Imama4 games19

Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (10 games per team); current squads only.

Photo credits (1)

Matthew Tkachuk · Jfvoll, CC BY-SA 4.0

Recent form

Winnipeg Jets

OTL2–3 L1–2 L2–3 OTL3–4 W5–2

Florida Panthers

L0–4 L1–5 W8–3 W3–2 W7–3

W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Friday, October 30

07:00 PM
Florida Panthers3
Winnipeg Jets2
Florida Panthers53%
Toss-up
Toss-up

Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers prediction

Our pick

Game flow

Markets

Lines

Goalie duel

Who scores

Who will win Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers?

Team leaders

Recent form

Head to head

Also scheduled

Friday, October 30

Other games that day