KHL

Lada vs Vladivostok prediction

Lada2–11–5 · Home Vladivostok7–7–3 · Away06:00 PMOct 27

40%win chance incl. overtime60%

Our pick

60%VLA60%VLA

Vladivostok to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.68 · projected 2–3

Our model makes Vladivostok 60% favourites on the road against Lada, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

LADLada in 60'

30%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

VLAVladivostok in 60'

49%

Game flow

LAD 2.1 · VLA 2.7 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.3–0.7

P2 · 0.7–1.0

P3 · 1.1–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Vladivostok60%1.68
Regulation result (60 minutes)Vladivostok49%2.05
Puck lineLada +1.569%1.45
Total goalsOver 4.559%1.69
Both teams to scoreYes82%1.21

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Vladivostok

60%fair 1.68

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Vladivostok

49%fair 2.05

Puck line

Lada +1.5

69%fair 1.45

Total goals

Over 4.5

59%fair 1.69

Both teams to score

Yes

82%fair 1.21

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

A. CamaraVLA · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7127%3.73
I. MuranovVLA · 5 G in 16 GP · 16 GP5522%4.56
R. SawchukLAD · 6 G in 18 GP · 18 GP6020%4.89
A. ChivilyovLAD · 4 G in 18 GP · 18 GP4218%5.71
D. ZavgorodnyVLA · 3 G in 14 GP · 14 GP3217%5.87
A. VolkovVLA · 3 G in 15 GP · 15 GP3217%5.96
Y. ChezganovVLA · 4 G in 16 GP · 16 GP4216%6.25
N. MakarovLAD · 2 G in 14 GP · 14 GP2315%6.87
Y. GroshevLAD · 2 G in 12 GP · 12 GP2114%6.95
R. ShakirovLAD · 2 G in 16 GP · 16 GP2012%8.10

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Lada vs Vladivostok?

Our model makes Vladivostok 60% favourites on the road against Lada, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Lada have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 1.0 and allowing 1.8 goals a game over that stretch. Vladivostok have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 3.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Lada sit 10th in the Western Conference, while Vladivostok sit 9th in the Eastern Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Lada rate −0.75 and Vladivostok −0.08 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.67 goals to Vladivostok. Home ice is worth about 0.13 goals a game in this league.

About 21% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Vladivostok win it in regulation only 49% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 60%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Lada 0, Vladivostok 1); the latest finished Vladivostok 4–3 Lada on 2026-10-10.

Our own lines for this game: Vladivostok −1.5 on the puck line (31%) and 4.5 total goals, with the over at 59% (5 projected).

Vladivostok to win, overtime and shootout included (60%). Projected score: 3–2.