Metal Ligaen

Herning Blue Fox vs Rødovre Mighty Bulls prediction

Herning Blue Fox12–0–1 · Home Rødovre Mighty Bulls5–8–0 · Away07:00 PMOct 27

75%win chance incl. overtime25%

Our pick

75%HER75%HER

Herning Blue Fox to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.33 · projected 3–2

Our model makes Herning Blue Fox 75% favourites at home against Rødovre Mighty Bulls, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

HERHerning Blue Fox in 60'

67%

Tied → OTTied → OT

16%

RØDRødovre Mighty Bulls in 60'

18%

Game flow

HER 3.7 · RØD 2.0 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.1–0.8

P2 · 1.2–0.5

P3 · 1.4–0.7

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Herning Blue Fox75%1.33
Regulation result (60 minutes)Herning Blue Fox67%1.50
Puck lineHerning Blue Fox −1.550%1.99
Total goalsOver 5.550%1.99
Both teams to scoreYes85%1.18

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Herning Blue Fox

75%fair 1.33

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Herning Blue Fox

67%fair 1.50

Puck line

Herning Blue Fox −1.5

50%fair 1.99

Total goals

Over 5.5

50%fair 1.99

Both teams to score

Yes

85%fair 1.18

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

O. KiljunenHER · 11 G in 13 GP · 13 GP11437%2.71
K. O'NeilHER · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7629%3.42
M. PoulsenHER · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7529%3.46
A. LindeHER · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7229%3.49
J. NiemelaRØD · 6 G in 13 GP · 13 GP6220%5.01
N. Krag-ChristensenRØD · 5 G in 12 GP · 12 GP5320%5.08
T. AmorosaHER · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4519%5.24
C. ThunboRØD · 4 G in 10 GP · 10 GP4318%5.47
M. KopperudRØD · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4316%6.29
J. VuorelaRØD · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3314%7.11

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Herning Blue Fox vs Rødovre Mighty Bulls?

Our model makes Herning Blue Fox 75% favourites at home against Rødovre Mighty Bulls, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Herning Blue Fox have won 5 of their last 5, scoring 4.4 and allowing 1.2 goals a game over that stretch. Rødovre Mighty Bulls have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Herning Blue Fox sit 1st, while Rødovre Mighty Bulls sit 8th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Herning Blue Fox rate +1.04 and Rødovre Mighty Bulls −0.39 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 1.44 goals to Herning Blue Fox. Home ice is worth about 0.18 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Herning Blue Fox 67% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 16%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Herning Blue Fox 1, Rødovre Mighty Bulls 0); the latest finished Rødovre Mighty Bulls 1–3 Herning Blue Fox on 2026-09-15.

Our own lines for this game: Herning Blue Fox −1.5 on the puck line (50%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 50% (5.8 projected).

Herning Blue Fox to win, overtime and shootout included (75%). Projected score: 3–2.