KHL

Salavat Ufa vs Sochi prediction

Salavat Ufa10–8–1 · Home Sochi4–13–0 · Away05:00 PMOct 27

65%win chance incl. overtime35%

Our pick

65%SAL65%SAL

Salavat Ufa to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.54 · projected 3–2

Our model makes Salavat Ufa 65% favourites at home against Sochi, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

SALSalavat Ufa in 60'

55%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

SOCSochi in 60'

26%

Game flow

SAL 3.2 · SOC 2.3 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–0.6

P2 · 1.1–0.8

P3 · 1.2–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Salavat Ufa65%1.54
Regulation result (60 minutes)Salavat Ufa55%1.82
Puck lineSochi +1.562%1.61
Total goalsUnder 5.552%1.92
Both teams to scoreYes87%1.15

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Salavat Ufa

65%fair 1.54

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Salavat Ufa

55%fair 1.82

Puck line

Sochi +1.5

62%fair 1.61

Total goals

Under 5.5

52%fair 1.92

Both teams to score

Yes

87%fair 1.15

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

S. RempalSAL · 8 G in 19 GP · 19 GP8530%3.37
D. VengryzhanovskySOC · 7 G in 16 GP · 16 GP7429%3.47
J. RodewaldSAL · 7 G in 19 GP · 19 GP7324%4.10
D. BrosseauSAL · 6 G in 18 GP · 18 GP6222%4.52
D. Orlovich-GrudkovSAL · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3220%4.91
M. KuznetsovSAL · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2420%4.94
M. GuskovSOC · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3417%5.79
T. KhafizovSOC · 3 G in 14 GP · 14 GP3317%5.80
A. GizdatullinSOC · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2114%7.07
T. AkhiyarovSOC · 2 G in 10 GP · 10 GP2514%7.12

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Salavat Ufa vs Sochi?

Our model makes Salavat Ufa 65% favourites at home against Sochi, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Salavat Ufa have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch. Sochi have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 3.4 goals a game over that stretch.

Salavat Ufa sit 4th in the Eastern Conference, while Sochi sit 11th in the Western Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Salavat Ufa rate −0.07 and Sochi −0.85 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.78 goals to Salavat Ufa. Home ice is worth about 0.12 goals a game in this league.

About 19% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Salavat Ufa win it in regulation only 55% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 65%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Salavat Ufa 0, Sochi 1); the latest finished Sochi 6–3 Salavat Ufa on 2026-09-30.

Our own lines for this game: Salavat Ufa −1.5 on the puck line (38%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 52% (5.7 projected).

Salavat Ufa to win, overtime and shootout included (65%). Projected score: 3–2.