KHL

Novosibirsk vs Magnitogorsk prediction

Novosibirsk7–9–3 · Home Magnitogorsk14–3–2 · Away03:30 PMOct 29

36%win chance incl. overtime64%

Our pick

64%MAG64%MAG

Magnitogorsk to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.56 · projected 2–3

Magnitogorsk are the pick on the road against Novosibirsk: a 64% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

NOVNovosibirsk in 60'

27%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

MAGMagnitogorsk in 60'

53%

Game flow

NOV 2.1 · MAG 2.9 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.5–0.9

P2 · 0.9–0.9

P3 · 0.7–1.1

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Magnitogorsk64%1.56
Regulation result (60 minutes)Magnitogorsk53%1.87
Puck lineNovosibirsk +1.564%1.56
Total goalsUnder 5.562%1.62
Both teams to scoreYes83%1.20

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Magnitogorsk

64%fair 1.56

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Magnitogorsk

53%fair 1.87

Puck line

Novosibirsk +1.5

64%fair 1.56

Total goals

Under 5.5

62%fair 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes

83%fair 1.20

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

N. ToddMAG · 9 G in 20 GP · 20 GP9626%3.80
R. IskhakovMAG · 7 G in 20 GP · 20 GP7422%4.65
N. MikhailisMAG · 6 G in 18 GP · 18 GP6520%4.94
A. YaremchukNOV · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5420%5.09
L. JohnsonMAG · 5 G in 19 GP · 19 GP5619%5.15
V. TkachevMAG · 5 G in 20 GP · 20 GP5419%5.36
S. PopovNOV · 4 G in 18 GP · 18 GP4215%6.78
D. DietzNOV · 5 G in 20 GP · 20 GP5115%6.78
P. TyutnevNOV · 4 G in 18 GP · 18 GP4115%6.79
S. NikulinNOV · 4 G in 20 GP · 20 GP4414%7.07

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (2)

N. Mikhailis · ChelseaFunNumberOne, CC BY-SA 4.0
D. Dietz · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0

Who will win Novosibirsk vs Magnitogorsk?

Magnitogorsk are the pick on the road against Novosibirsk: a 64% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Novosibirsk have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch. Magnitogorsk have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 3.8 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Novosibirsk sit 8th in the Eastern Conference, while Magnitogorsk sit 1st in the Eastern Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Novosibirsk rate −0.30 and Magnitogorsk +0.64 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.94 goals to Magnitogorsk. Home ice is worth about 0.13 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Magnitogorsk 53% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 20%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Novosibirsk 0, Magnitogorsk 1); the latest finished Magnitogorsk 5–1 Novosibirsk on 2026-10-24.

Our own lines for this game: Magnitogorsk −1.5 on the puck line (36%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 62% (5.2 projected).

Magnitogorsk to win, overtime and shootout included (64%). Projected score: 3–2.