AHL

Chicago Wolves vs Manitoba Moose prediction

Chicago Wolves2–4–0 · Home Manitoba Moose6–2–0 · Away12:00 PMOct 27

33%win chance incl. overtime67%

Our pick

67%MAN67%MAN

Manitoba Moose to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.50 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with Manitoba Moose (67%) on the road against Chicago Wolves, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

CHIChicago Wolves in 60'

25%

Tied → OTTied → OT

18%

MANManitoba Moose in 60'

57%

Game flow

CHI 2.5 · MAN 3.6 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.4–1.2

P2 · 0.7–0.8

P3 · 0.5–1.6

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Manitoba Moose67%1.50
Regulation result (60 minutes)Manitoba Moose57%1.74
Puck lineChicago Wolves +1.559%1.70
Total goalsUnder 6.554%1.86
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Manitoba Moose

67%fair 1.50

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Manitoba Moose

57%fair 1.74

Puck line

Chicago Wolves +1.5

59%fair 1.70

Total goals

Under 6.5

54%fair 1.86

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

B. YagerMAN · 5 G in 7 GP · 7 GP5630%3.32
N. GregorMAN · 5 G in 8 GP · 8 GP5629%3.47
D. ZhilkinMAN · 4 G in 7 GP · 7 GP4727%3.68
N. ChibrikovMAN · 4 G in 7 GP · 7 GP4727%3.72
P. FordMAN · 3 G in 6 GP · 6 GP3826%3.87

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Chicago Wolves vs Manitoba Moose?

The numbers side with Manitoba Moose (67%) on the road against Chicago Wolves, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Chicago Wolves have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 4.4 goals a game over that stretch. Manitoba Moose have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 4.8 and allowing 3.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Chicago Wolves sit 5th in the Central Division, while Manitoba Moose sit 2nd in the Central Division.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Chicago Wolves rate −0.51 and Manitoba Moose +0.45 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.96 goals to Manitoba Moose. Home ice is worth about -0.12 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Manitoba Moose 57% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 18%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 3 times recently (Chicago Wolves 0, Manitoba Moose 3); the latest finished Chicago Wolves 1–6 Manitoba Moose on 2026-10-11.

Our own lines for this game: Manitoba Moose −1.5 on the puck line (41%) and 6.5 total goals, with the under at 54% (6.3 projected).

Manitoba Moose to win, overtime and shootout included (67%). Projected score: 3–2.