AHL

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton vs Hartford Wolf Pack prediction

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3–3–1 · Home Hartford Wolf Pack4–5–0 · Away06:05 PMOct 24

45%win chance incl. overtime55%

Our pick

55%HAR55%HAR

Hartford Wolf Pack to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.83 · projected 2–3

Our model makes Hartford Wolf Pack 55% favourites on the road against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

WILWilkes-Barre/Scranton in 60'

35%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

HARHartford Wolf Pack in 60'

43%

Game flow

WIL 3.1 · HAR 2.8 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.8–0.9

P2 · 1.4–0.7

P3 · 0.9–1.2

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Hartford Wolf Pack55%1.83
Regulation result (60 minutes)Hartford Wolf Pack43%2.30
Puck lineWilkes-Barre/Scranton +1.569%1.45
Total goalsOver 5.551%1.95
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.14

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Hartford Wolf Pack

55%fair 1.83

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Hartford Wolf Pack

43%fair 2.30

Puck line

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton +1.5

69%fair 1.45

Total goals

Over 5.5

51%fair 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.14

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

L. GreentreeHAR · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4328%3.53
T. RaddyshHAR · 3 G in 9 GP · 9 GP3121%4.71
A. BlidhHAR · 1 G in 5 GP · 5 GP1115%6.54
G. GawdinHAR · 1 G in 7 GP · 7 GP1414%7.24
J. DowlingHAR · 1 G in 7 GP · 7 GP1014%7.24

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Wilkes-Barre/Scranton vs Hartford Wolf Pack?

Our model makes Hartford Wolf Pack 55% favourites on the road against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 4.8 and allowing 3.4 goals a game over that stretch. Hartford Wolf Pack have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 1.6 and allowing 3.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton sit 4th in the Atlantic Division, while Hartford Wolf Pack sit 3rd in the Atlantic Division.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton rate +0.18 and Hartford Wolf Pack −0.21 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.40 goals to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton. Home ice is worth about -0.12 goals a game in this league.

About 21% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Hartford Wolf Pack win it in regulation only 43% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 55%.

These teams have met 2 times recently (Wilkes-Barre/Scranton 1, Hartford Wolf Pack 1); the latest finished Hartford Wolf Pack 1–7 Wilkes-Barre/Scranton on 2026-10-10.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Hartford Wolf Pack at 58% on the moneyline across 2 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Hartford Wolf Pack −1.5 on the puck line comes in 31% of the time on our numbers, and the over 5.5 goals lands 51% against a projected 6.1 goals.

Hartford Wolf Pack to win, overtime and shootout included (55%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.