AHL

Grand Rapids Griffins vs Cleveland Monsters prediction

Grand Rapids Griffins6–1–2 · Home Cleveland Monsters5–2–0 · Away07:00 PMOct 24

53%win chance incl. overtime47%

Our pick

53%GRA53%GRA

Grand Rapids Griffins to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.90 · projected 3–2

The numbers side with Grand Rapids Griffins (53%) at home against Cleveland Monsters, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

GRAGrand Rapids Griffins in 60'

42%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

CLECleveland Monsters in 60'

37%

Game flow

GRA 3.2 · CLE 2.9 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–0.9

P2 · 1.1–1.1

P3 · 1.2–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Grand Rapids Griffins53%1.90
Regulation result (60 minutes)Grand Rapids Griffins42%2.40
Puck lineCleveland Monsters +1.569%1.45
Total goalsOver 5.553%1.87
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.13

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Grand Rapids Griffins

53%fair 1.90

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Grand Rapids Griffins

42%fair 2.40

Puck line

Cleveland Monsters +1.5

69%fair 1.45

Total goals

Over 5.5

53%fair 1.87

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.13

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

J. KiiskinenGRA · 6 G in 8 GP · 8 GP6733%3.02
W. LagessonGRA · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4424%4.20
S. DriesGRA · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4123%4.38
C. BearGRA · 2 G in 6 GP · 6 GP2418%5.56
C. ButlerGRA · 2 G in 9 GP · 9 GP2116%6.36

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Grand Rapids Griffins vs Cleveland Monsters?

The numbers side with Grand Rapids Griffins (53%) at home against Cleveland Monsters, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Grand Rapids Griffins have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 4.0 and allowing 2.0 goals a game over that stretch. Cleveland Monsters have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 4.0 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Grand Rapids Griffins sit 1st in the Central Division, while Cleveland Monsters sit 4th in the North Division.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Grand Rapids Griffins rate +0.40 and Cleveland Monsters +0.03 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.37 goals to Grand Rapids Griffins. Home ice is worth about -0.12 goals a game in this league.

About 21% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Grand Rapids Griffins win it in regulation only 42% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 53%.

These teams have met 3 times recently (Grand Rapids Griffins 1, Cleveland Monsters 2); the latest finished Grand Rapids Griffins 2–3 Cleveland Monsters on 2026-10-23.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Grand Rapids Griffins at 52% on the moneyline across 7 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Grand Rapids Griffins −1.5 on the puck line comes in 31% of the time on our numbers, and the over 5.5 goals lands 53% against a projected 6.3 goals.

Grand Rapids Griffins to win, overtime and shootout included (53%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.