Boston Bruins vs San Jose Sharks prediction
Our pick
Boston Bruins to win
incl. overtime · fair odds 1.56 · projected 3–2
Boston Bruins are the pick at home against San Jose Sharks, with a 64% chance to win including overtime and a projected 3–2 score.
After 60 minutes
Game flow
BOS 3.4 · SAN 2.4 expected goals in 60 minutes
Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).
Markets
- Moneyline (incl. overtime)Boston Bruins64%1.56
- Regulation result (60 minutes)Boston Bruins52%1.92
- Puck lineSan Jose Sharks +1.559%1.69
- Total goalsUnder 6.553%1.88
- Both teams to scoreYes88%1.13
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Lines
Lines from the last game · may change
Boston Bruins
Last game: Oct 22
1st line
13:02 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | David Pastrňák LW | 16:37 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha C | 16:11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | JJ Peterka RW | 17:52 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
29 points this season
2nd line
11:38 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | Morgan Geekie LW | 14:34 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten C | 15:28 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov RW | 14:22 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
19 points this season
3rd line
10:00 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt LW | 15:03 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 44 | James Hagens C | 15:04 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm RW | 13:43 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
20 points this season
4th line
9:20 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot LW | 13:51 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic C | 14:14 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 51 | Matthew Poitras RW | 13:34 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
16 points this season
1st pair
17:29 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov D | 19:48 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | Will Borgen D | 19:45 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
7 points this season
2nd pair
15:54 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm D | 20:21 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy D | 19:01 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
10 points this season
3rd pair
15:38 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mason Lohrei D | 20:14 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 42 | Frederic Brunet D | 18:18 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
8 points this season
Power play unit 1
1:35 together on the power play
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | JJ Peterka F | 17:52 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten F | 15:28 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 44 | James Hagens F | 15:04 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt F | 15:03 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 42 | Frederic Brunet D | 18:18 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
30 points this season
Power play unit 2
1:20 together on the power play
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | David Pastrňák F | 16:37 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha F | 16:11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie F | 14:34 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm F | 13:43 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy D | 19:01 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
42 points this season
Penalty kill unit 1
1:00 together on the penalty kill
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov F | 14:22 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic F | 14:14 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm D | 20:21 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei D | 20:14 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
20 points this season
Penalty kill unit 2: No such unit in that game.
Goalies: Jeremy Swayman #1 (Projected) · Michael Dipietro #30 (Backup)
San Jose Sharks
Last game: Oct 22
1st line
8:14 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Will Smith LW | 16:54 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini C | 23:11 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| 51 | Collin Graf RW | 19:32 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
23 points this season
2nd line
10:09 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | Kiefer Sherwood LW | 18:39 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| 77 | Michael Misa C | 14:21 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| 41 | Ivar Stenberg RW | 13:58 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
17 points this season
3rd line
6:45 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow LW | 13:41 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea C | 15:26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk RW | 11:00 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3 points this season
4th line: No such unit in that game.
1st pair
15:52 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | Jacob Trouba D | 23:47 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson D | 19:47 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
7 points this season
2nd pair
14:03 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Darnell Nurse D | 21:52 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 7 | Michael Kesselring D | 18:12 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
4 points this season
Power play unit 1
1:55 together on the power play
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini F | 23:11 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Will Smith F | 16:54 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment F | 14:15 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 41 | Ivar Stenberg F | 13:58 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov D | 16:51 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
34 points this season
Power play unit 2
0:42 together on the power play
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Collin Graf F | 19:32 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 44 | Kiefer Sherwood F | 18:39 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| 77 | Michael Misa F | 14:21 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli F | 11:06 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 65 | Jacob Trouba D | 23:47 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
27 points this season
Penalty kill unit 1
0:55 together on the penalty kill
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini F | 23:11 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| 44 | Kiefer Sherwood F | 18:39 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson D | 19:47 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Michael Kesselring D | 18:12 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
22 points this season
Penalty kill unit 2
0:47 together on the penalty kill
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Collin Graf F | 19:32 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea F | 15:26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 65 | Jacob Trouba D | 23:47 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson D | 19:47 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
10 points this season
Goalies: Yaroslav Askarov #30 (Projected) · Alex Nedeljkovic #33 (Backup)
Swipe the rink to switch units
How we read the lines
From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.
Photo credits (35)
- David Pastrňák · Bostonbruinsfan22, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Pavel Zacha · Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0
- JJ Peterka · Sandro Halank , Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Morgan Geekie · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
- Fraser Minten · Bardonvtn, CC BY 4.0
- Casey Mittelstadt · CloutsnChara Sports Cards, CC BY 3.0
- James Hagens · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Elias Lindholm · Benjamin Reed, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Tanner Jeannot · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Matthew Poitras · Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Nikita Zadorov · m_kania, CC BY 2.0
- Will Borgen · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Hampus Lindholm · mark6mauno, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Charlie McAvoy · CloutsnChara Sports Cards, CC BY 3.0
- Mason Lohrei · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Michael Dipietro · Jfvoll, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Jeremy Swayman · Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Will Smith · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Macklin Celebrini · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Collin Graf · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Kiefer Sherwood · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Michael Misa · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Ivar Stenberg · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Barclay Goodrow · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Ty Dellandrea · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Zack Ostapchuk · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Jacob Trouba · Stefan Brending ( 2eight ), CC BY-SA 3.0 de
- Sam Dickinson · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Darnell Nurse · All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Michael Kesselring · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Dmitry Orlov · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Mason Marchment · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Tyler Toffoli · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Yaroslav Askarov · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Alex Nedeljkovic · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Goalie duel
Projected
Goalie duelProjected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop
Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.
Photo credits (2)
- Jeremy Swayman · Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Yaroslav Askarov · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Who scores
Anytime goal, overtime included
David PastrňákBOS · RW · 6 G in 10 GP · 10 GP6932%3.12
Matthew PoitrasBOS · C · 4 G in 8 GP · 8 GP4525%4.01
Macklin CelebriniSAN · C · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5623%4.31
Elias LindholmBOS · C · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4423%4.32
JJ PeterkaBOS · RW · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4322%4.53
Fraser MintenBOS · C · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4322%4.64
Tyler ToffoliSAN · C · 4 G in 10 GP · 10 GP4420%4.95
Ivar StenbergSAN · LW · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3317%5.76
Mason MarchmentSAN · LW · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3215%6.51
Will SmithSAN · C · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3214%7.05
The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.
Photo credits (10)
- David Pastrňák · Bostonbruinsfan22, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Matthew Poitras · Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Macklin Celebrini · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Elias Lindholm · Benjamin Reed, CC BY-SA 2.0
- JJ Peterka · Sandro Halank , Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Fraser Minten · Bardonvtn, CC BY 4.0
- Tyler Toffoli · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Ivar Stenberg · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Mason Marchment · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Will Smith · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Who will win Boston Bruins vs San Jose Sharks?
Boston Bruins are the pick at home against San Jose Sharks, with a 64% chance to win including overtime and a projected 3–2 score.
Boston Bruins carry the stronger recent form into this one, having won 4 of their last 5 while scoring 4.4 and allowing 1.8 goals a game over that stretch. San Jose Sharks have also been competitive, winning 3 of their last 5 at 3.4 goals scored and 2.8 allowed per game, but the gap at both ends of the ice favours the home side. The table tells a similar story: Boston Bruins sit 2nd in the Eastern Conference, while San Jose Sharks are 7th in the Western Conference.
Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Boston Bruins rate +0.62 and San Jose Sharks −0.12 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.74 goals to Boston Bruins. Home ice adds about 0.25 goals a game in this league, which pushes the advantage further toward the hosts. The model gives Boston Bruins 52% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 21%, with a tie going to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.
The teams have met once recently, and the latest finished San Jose Sharks 3–6 Boston Bruins on 2026-10-14. The market is aligned with the model: once the bookmaker margin is removed, Boston Bruins are priced at 63% on the moneyline across 9 bookmakers, close to the 64% figure the numbers produce.
What the model sees is a home win that is more likely than not but not one-sided, with San Jose Sharks given a real path through a tight game that could reach overtime. The projected 3–2 scoreline reflects that margin: Boston Bruins are favoured, but the edge is measured rather than overwhelming.
The projected 3–2 score implies a one-goal game, which works against Boston Bruins −1.5 on the puck line; that line comes in 41% of the time on our numbers. The projected 6.1 goals sit just below the 6.5 line, and the under lands 53%, a narrow lean rather than a strong one. The moneyline is the cleaner side of the market, with Boston Bruins at 64% against a market price of 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed across 9 bookmakers.
Boston Bruins to win, overtime and shootout included (64%), with a projected score of 3–2.
Team leaders
- Points
- Goals
- Assists
- Penalty minutes
Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (11 games per team); current squads only.
Photo credits (4)
- David Pastrňák · Bostonbruinsfan22, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Nikita Zadorov · m_kania, CC BY 2.0
- Macklin Celebrini · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Jacob Trouba · Stefan Brending ( 2eight ), CC BY-SA 3.0 de
Recent form
W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation
Head to head
- San Jose Sharks 3–6 Boston Bruins
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