NHL

San Jose Sharks vs Ottawa Senators prediction

San Jose Sharks6–4–1 · Home Ottawa Senators7–4–0 · Away04:00 PMOct 31

54%win chance incl. overtime46%

Our pick

54%SAN54%SAN

San Jose Sharks to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.86 · projected 3–2

San Jose Sharks are the pick at home against Ottawa Senators: a 54% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

SANSan Jose Sharks in 60'

43%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

OTTOttawa Senators in 60'

36%

Game flow

SAN 3.0 · OTT 2.8 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.8–0.7

P2 · 1.1–0.9

P3 · 1.1–1.1

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)San Jose Sharks54%1.86
Regulation result (60 minutes)San Jose Sharks43%2.31
Puck lineOttawa Senators +1.572%1.39
Total goalsOver 5.552%1.91
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.12

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

San Jose Sharks

54%fair 1.86

Regulation result (60 minutes)

San Jose Sharks

43%fair 2.31

Puck line

Ottawa Senators +1.5

72%fair 1.39

Total goals

Over 5.5

52%fair 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.12

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Lines

Lines from the last game · may change

San Jose Sharks

Last game: Oct 24

1st line

1:47 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
71	Macklin Celebrini LW	2:50	5	9	14
2	Will Smith C	2:52	3	3	6
51	Collin Graf RW	1:56	2	1	3

23 points this season

41StenbergLW

77MisaC

44SherwoodRW

2nd line

1:27 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
41	Ivar Stenberg LW	2:30	3	4	7
77	Michael Misa C	1:55	1	4	5
44	Kiefer Sherwood RW	2:02	1	4	5

17 points this season

27MarchmentLW

73ToffoliC

10DellandreaRW

3rd line

1:12 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
27	Mason Marchment LW	2:23	3	0	3
73	Tyler Toffoli C	1:39	4	4	8
10	Ty Dellandrea RW	1:29	0	0	0

11 points this season

23GoodrowLW

63OstapchukC

81GaudetteRW

4th line

1:15 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
23	Barclay Goodrow LW	1:25	0	2	2
63	Zack Ostapchuk C	1:32	1	0	1
81	Adam Gaudette RW	1:51	0	0	0

3 points this season

25NurseD

7KesselringD

1st pair

2:29 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
25	Darnell Nurse D	2:38	1	1	2
7	Michael Kesselring D	2:29	0	2	2

4 points this season

9OrlovD NA5AllanD

2nd pair

1:40 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
9	Dmitry Orlov D	2:43	1	3	4
5	Nolan Allan D	1:48	2	0	2

6 points this season

65TroubaD

6DickinsonD

3rd pair

1:49 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
65	Jacob Trouba D	2:17	2	4	6
6	Sam Dickinson D	1:51	0	1	1

7 points this season

Power play unit 1

1:03 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
2	Will Smith F	2:52	3	3	6
71	Macklin Celebrini F	2:50	5	9	14
41	Ivar Stenberg F	2:30	3	4	7
27	Mason Marchment F	2:23	3	0	3
9	Dmitry Orlov D	2:43	1	3	4

34 points this season

Goalies: Yaroslav Askarov #30 (Projected) · Alex Nedeljkovic #33 (Backup)

Ottawa Senators

Last game: Oct 24

1st line

1:25 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
71	Ridly Greig LW	2:12	1	1	2
12	Shane Pinto C	2:44	2	4	6
22	Michael Amadio RW	2:46	2	2	4

12 points this season

FZ20ZetterlundLW

18StützleC

28GirouxRW

2nd line

1:37 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
20	Fabian Zetterlund LW	2:18	1	3	4
18	Tim Stützle C	2:08	7	7	14
28	Claude Giroux RW	1:38	2	4	6

24 points this season

3rd line: No such unit in that game.

4th line: No such unit in that game.

2ZubD

85SandersonD

1st pair

2:42 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
2	Artem Zub D	3:13	0	1	1
85	Jake Sanderson D	2:47	0	2	2

3 points this season

43KlevenD

10SpenceD

2nd pair

1:33 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
43	Tyler Kleven D	2:02	1	1	2
10	Jordan Spence D	1:47	1	1	2

4 points this season

NM33MatinpaloD

26YakemchukD

3rd pair

1:15 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
33	Nikolas Matinpalo D	1:26	0	2	2
26	Carter Yakemchuk D	1:16	1	1	2

4 points this season

Power play unit 1: No such unit in that game.

Goalies: Linus Ullmark (Projected) · Jonas Johansson #31 (Backup)

Swipe the rink to switch units

How we read the lines

From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. Counted over all play (little 5-on-5 time in that game). TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.

Photo credits (32)

Macklin Celebrini · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Smith · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Collin Graf · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Ivar Stenberg · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Michael Misa · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Kiefer Sherwood · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Mason Marchment · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Tyler Toffoli · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Ty Dellandrea · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Barclay Goodrow · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Zack Ostapchuk · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Gaudette · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Darnell Nurse · All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Kesselring · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Dmitry Orlov · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Trouba · Stefan Brending ( 2eight ), CC BY-SA 3.0 de
Sam Dickinson · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Nedeljkovic · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Yaroslav Askarov · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Ridly Greig · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
Shane Pinto · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Amadio · Pens Through My Lens, CC BY-SA 4.0
Tim Stützle · BKLuis, CC BY-SA 4.0
Claude Giroux · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Artem Zub · All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0
Jake Sanderson · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
Tyler Kleven · Hockeywithry, CC BY 4.0
Jordan Spence · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Carter Yakemchuk · Hockeywithry, CC0
Jonas Johansson · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
Samuel Ersson · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
Linus Ullmark · Calle Eklund/ V-wolf, CC BY-SA 3.0

Goalie duel

Projected

Projected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop

Yaroslav Askarov SAN

.883 save percentage

3.43 GAA · 3–4–0 · 7 starts

Linus Ullmark OTT

.945 save percentage

1.33 GAA · 7–1–0 · 8 starts

Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.

Photo credits (2)

Yaroslav Askarov · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Linus Ullmark · Calle Eklund/ V-wolf, CC BY-SA 3.0

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

Tim StützleOTT · C · 7 G in 11 GP · 11 GP7532%3.08
Macklin CelebriniSAN · C · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5628%3.60
Tyler ToffoliSAN · C · 4 G in 10 GP · 10 GP4424%4.12
Drake BathersonOTT · RW · 4 G in 10 GP · 10 GP4422%4.49
Ivar StenbergSAN · LW · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3321%4.77
Mason MarchmentSAN · LW · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3219%5.38
Stephen HallidayOTT · C · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3318%5.43
Will SmithSAN · C · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3217%5.82
Claude GirouxOTT · RW · 2 G in 11 GP · 11 GP2315%6.47
Shane PintoOTT · C · 2 G in 11 GP · 11 GP2215%6.55

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (9)

Tim Stützle · BKLuis, CC BY-SA 4.0
Macklin Celebrini · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Tyler Toffoli · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Drake Batherson · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
Ivar Stenberg · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Mason Marchment · Jessekornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Smith · Jesse Kornblum, CC BY-SA 4.0
Claude Giroux · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Shane Pinto · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0

All NHL goal scorer picks today

Who will win San Jose Sharks vs Ottawa Senators?

San Jose Sharks are the pick at home against Ottawa Senators: a 54% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

San Jose Sharks have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.4 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch. Ottawa Senators have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 3.6 goals a game over that stretch.

San Jose Sharks sit 8th in the Western Conference, while Ottawa Senators sit 5th in the Eastern Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, San Jose Sharks rate −0.12 and Ottawa Senators −0.10 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.02 goals to Ottawa Senators. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.

About 21% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why San Jose Sharks win it in regulation only 43% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 54%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (San Jose Sharks 1, Ottawa Senators 0); the latest finished Ottawa Senators 2–6 San Jose Sharks on 2026-10-22.

Our own lines for this game: San Jose Sharks −1.5 on the puck line (28%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 52% (6 projected).

San Jose Sharks to win, overtime and shootout included (54%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.