P2 · 1'

EHC Kloten vs Rapperswil-Jona prediction

EHC Kloten5–9–1 · Home Rapperswil-Jona5–9–1 · Away0–2P2 · 1'

52%win chance incl. overtime48%

Live · updates automatically

Our pick

52%EHC52%EHC

EHC Kloten to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.94 · projected 3–2

EHC Kloten are a narrow home pick at 52% to beat Rapperswil-Jona, with a projected 3–2 scoreline.

After 60 minutes

EHCEHC Kloten in 60'

41%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

RAPRapperswil-Jona in 60'

38%

Game flow

EHC 3.1 · RAP 2.9 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.7–0.9

P2 · 1.7–1.0

P3 · 0.8–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)EHC Kloten52%1.94
Regulation result (60 minutes)EHC Kloten41%2.44
Puck lineEHC Kloten +1.573%1.38
Total goalsOver 5.553%1.90
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.13

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

EHC Kloten

52%fair 1.94

Regulation result (60 minutes)

EHC Kloten

41%fair 2.44

Puck line

EHC Kloten +1.5

73%fair 1.38

Total goals

Over 5.5

53%fair 1.90

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.13

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

P. PuhakkaEHC · 12 G in 15 GP · 15 GP12648%2.08
G. WetterRAP · 7 G in 15 GP · 15 GP7329%3.47
D. LammerRAP · 6 G in 15 GP · 15 GP6225%3.97
T. MoyRAP · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5424%4.09
D. MeyerEHC · 4 G in 15 GP · 15 GP4224%4.11
J. LuotoEHC · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3123%4.41
N. JensenRAP · 5 G in 15 GP · 15 GP5522%4.54
A. RuotsalainenEHC · 4 G in 15 GP · 15 GP4419%5.28
M. LindrothEHC · 3 G in 15 GP · 15 GP3218%5.44
N. DunnerRAP · 3 G in 15 GP · 15 GP3417%5.79

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win EHC Kloten vs Rapperswil-Jona?

EHC Kloten are a narrow home pick at 52% to beat Rapperswil-Jona, with a projected 3–2 scoreline.

Neither side arrives in good shape, but EHC Kloten's recent run is the less damaging of the two. They have taken 2 of their last 5 while scoring 2.4 and conceding 3.6 per game, whereas Rapperswil-Jona have just 1 win in 5, scoring 3.0 but leaking 4.0. The table reflects that gap only slightly: EHC Kloten are 13th and Rapperswil-Jona 14th, so this is a meeting of two teams near the bottom rather than a mismatch.

The underlying ratings complicate the home lean. Once the strength of past opponents is accounted for, EHC Kloten sit at −0.54 goals per game and Rapperswil-Jona at −0.45 against an average team, which gives Rapperswil-Jona a 0.08-goal edge on that measure. Home ice in this league is worth roughly 0.29 goals a game, and that swing is what tips the model back toward EHC Kloten. The two inputs are close enough that the home advantage, not the ratings, decides the favourite.

The head-to-head sample is tiny: the teams have met once recently, and EHC Kloten won it, with the latest meeting finishing 4–3 to EHC Kloten on 2026-09-15. The market has landed in almost the same place as the model, pricing EHC Kloten at 51% on the moneyline across 8 bookmakers once the margin is stripped out. That agreement is why the pick carries little conviction — 22% of games like this are level after 60 minutes, which leaves EHC Kloten winning in regulation only 41% of the time, with overtime and the shootout supplying the rest of their 52%.

The projected 3–2 scoreline keeps the margin inside one goal, and EHC Kloten +1.5 on the puck line comes in 72% of the time on our numbers. At the other end, a projected 6.3 goals sits above the 5.5 line, and the over lands 53% of the time — a thin edge rather than a strong one.

Take EHC Kloten to win, overtime and shootout included, at 52%, with a projected score of 3–2.