National League

Fribourg-Gottéron vs Davos prediction

Fribourg-Gottéron8–4–2 · Home Davos6–8–1 · Away07:45 PMOct 27

65%win chance incl. overtime35%

Our pick

65%FRI65%FRI

Fribourg-Gottéron to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.54 · projected 3–2

Fribourg-Gottéron are the pick at home against Davos: a 65% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

FRIFribourg-Gottéron in 60'

55%

Tied → OTTied → OT

18%

DAVDavos in 60'

26%

Game flow

FRI 3.3 · DAV 2.4 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.8–0.8

P2 · 1.1–0.8

P3 · 1.4–0.8

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Fribourg-Gottéron65%1.54
Regulation result (60 minutes)Fribourg-Gottéron55%1.81
Puck lineDavos +1.561%1.63
Total goalsOver 5.550%2.00
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.14

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Fribourg-Gottéron

65%fair 1.54

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Fribourg-Gottéron

55%fair 1.81

Puck line

Davos +1.5

61%fair 1.63

Total goals

Over 5.5

50%fair 2.00

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.14

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

C. BertschyFRI · 9 G in 14 GP · 14 GP9735%2.85
S. SchmidFRI · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7627%3.74
F. ZadinaDAV · 6 G in 15 GP · 15 GP6625%4.00
B. LemieuxDAV · 5 G in 12 GP · 12 GP5323%4.31
H. BorgstromFRI · 3 G in 7 GP · 7 GP3521%4.76
A. RichardFRI · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4620%4.91
N. MarchonFRI · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4119%5.13
V. NussbaumerDAV · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3016%6.27
F. AllardDAV · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3316%6.41
T. KesslerDAV · 3 G in 15 GP · 15 GP3214%6.91

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Fribourg-Gottéron vs Davos?

Fribourg-Gottéron are the pick at home against Davos: a 65% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Fribourg-Gottéron have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 5.0 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch. Davos have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Fribourg-Gottéron sit 3rd, while Davos sit 10th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Fribourg-Gottéron rate +0.43 and Davos −0.21 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.63 goals to Fribourg-Gottéron. Home ice is worth about 0.29 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Fribourg-Gottéron 55% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 18%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Fribourg-Gottéron 1, Davos 0); the latest finished Davos 1–2 Fribourg-Gottéron on 2026-09-22.

Our own lines for this game: Fribourg-Gottéron −1.5 on the puck line (39%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 50% (5.9 projected).

Fribourg-Gottéron to win, overtime and shootout included (65%). Projected score: 3–2.