National League

EHC Kloten vs Ajoie prediction

EHC Kloten5–9–1 · Home Ajoie8–5–2 · Away07:45 PMOct 27

47%win chance incl. overtime53%

Our pick

53%AJO53%AJO

Ajoie to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.88 · projected 2–3

Our model makes Ajoie 53% favourites on the road against EHC Kloten, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

EHCEHC Kloten in 60'

37%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

AJOAjoie in 60'

44%

Game flow

EHC 2.9 · AJO 3.1 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–0.8

P2 · 1.0–1.1

P3 · 1.0–1.2

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Ajoie53%1.88
Regulation result (60 minutes)Ajoie44%2.30
Puck lineEHC Kloten +1.572%1.39
Total goalsOver 5.554%1.84
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Ajoie

53%fair 1.88

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Ajoie

44%fair 2.30

Puck line

EHC Kloten +1.5

72%fair 1.39

Total goals

Over 5.5

54%fair 1.84

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

P. PuhakkaEHC · 12 G in 15 GP · 15 GP12645%2.23
J. NattinenAJO · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7428%3.58
A. HonkaAJO · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7427%3.68
J. HonkaAJO · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5526%3.81
D. MeyerEHC · 4 G in 15 GP · 15 GP4222%4.46
K. TanusAJO · 6 G in 15 GP · 15 GP6521%4.72
J. LuotoEHC · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3121%4.79
J. TurkulainenAJO · 4 G in 15 GP · 15 GP4920%5.09
A. RuotsalainenEHC · 4 G in 15 GP · 15 GP4417%5.74
M. LindrothEHC · 3 G in 15 GP · 15 GP3217%5.92

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win EHC Kloten vs Ajoie?

Our model makes Ajoie 53% favourites on the road against EHC Kloten, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

EHC Kloten have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 3.6 goals a game over that stretch. Ajoie have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.8 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch.

EHC Kloten sit 13th, while Ajoie sit 6th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, EHC Kloten rate −0.53 and Ajoie −0.04 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.49 goals to Ajoie. Home ice is worth about 0.29 goals a game in this league.

About 19% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Ajoie win it in regulation only 44% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 53%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (EHC Kloten 0, Ajoie 1); the latest finished Ajoie 4–3 EHC Kloten on 2026-09-19.

Our own lines for this game: Ajoie −1.5 on the puck line (28%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 54% (6.1 projected).

Ajoie to win, overtime and shootout included (53%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.