National League

Davos vs Rapperswil-Jona prediction

Davos6–8–1 · Home Rapperswil-Jona5–9–1 · Away07:45 PMOct 30

59%win chance incl. overtime41%

Our pick

59%DAV59%DAV

Davos to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.71 · projected 3–2

Davos are the pick at home against Rapperswil-Jona: a 59% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

DAVDavos in 60'

49%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

RAPRapperswil-Jona in 60'

32%

Game flow

DAV 3.2 · RAP 2.7 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.8–0.8

P2 · 1.5–0.7

P3 · 0.8–1.2

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Davos59%1.71
Regulation result (60 minutes)Davos49%2.05
Puck lineRapperswil-Jona +1.567%1.49
Total goalsOver 5.553%1.88
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.12

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Davos

59%fair 1.71

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Davos

49%fair 2.05

Puck line

Rapperswil-Jona +1.5

67%fair 1.49

Total goals

Over 5.5

53%fair 1.88

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.12

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

F. ZadinaDAV · 6 G in 15 GP · 15 GP6632%3.13
B. LemieuxDAV · 5 G in 12 GP · 12 GP5330%3.36
G. WetterRAP · 7 G in 15 GP · 15 GP7327%3.77
D. LammerRAP · 6 G in 15 GP · 15 GP6223%4.31
T. MoyRAP · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5423%4.44
V. NussbaumerDAV · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3021%4.82
F. AllardDAV · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3320%4.93
N. JensenRAP · 5 G in 15 GP · 15 GP5520%4.94
T. KesslerDAV · 3 G in 15 GP · 15 GP3219%5.30
N. DunnerRAP · 3 G in 15 GP · 15 GP3416%6.32

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Davos vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Davos are the pick at home against Rapperswil-Jona: a 59% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Davos have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch. Rapperswil-Jona have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 4.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Davos sit 10th, while Rapperswil-Jona sit 14th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Davos rate −0.20 and Rapperswil-Jona −0.45 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.24 goals to Davos. Home ice is worth about 0.29 goals a game in this league.

About 19% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Davos win it in regulation only 49% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 59%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Davos 0, Rapperswil-Jona 1); the latest finished Rapperswil-Jona 3–2 Davos on 2026-09-25.

Our own lines for this game: Davos −1.5 on the puck line (33%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 53% (6.1 projected).

Davos to win, overtime and shootout included (59%). Projected score: 3–2.