HOCKEYORA
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction

66%win chance incl. overtime34%

Our pick

66%CAR

Carolina Hurricanes to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.52 · projected 3–2

The numbers side with Carolina Hurricanes (66%) at home against Columbus Blue Jackets, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

CAR
56%
Tied → OT
19%
COL
25%

Game flow

CAR 3.6 · COL 2.5 expected goals in 60 minutes

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds
  • Moneyline (incl. overtime)Carolina Hurricanes66%1.52
  • Regulation result (60 minutes)Carolina Hurricanes56%1.79
  • Puck lineColumbus Blue Jackets +1.560%1.67
  • Total goalsUnder 6.554%1.84
  • Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Lines

Lines from the last game · may change

Carolina Hurricanes

Last game: Oct 22

1st line

12:11 together at 5-on-5

#PlayerTOIGAP
28William Carrier LW17:27077
20Sebastian Aho C22:067815
37Andrei Svechnikov RW18:476511

33 points this season

Goalies: Brandon Bussi #32 (Projected) · Pyotr Kochetkov #52 (Backup)

Columbus Blue Jackets

Last game: Oct 20

1st line

8:21 together at 5-on-5

#PlayerTOIGAP
89Matthew Knies LW18:36224
19Adam Fantilli C21:21213
91Kent Johnson RW17:09415

12 points this season

Goalies: Jet Greaves #73 (Projected) · Cam Talbot #33 (Backup)

Swipe the rink to switch units

How we read the lines

From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.

Photo credits (19)

Goalie duel

Projected

Projected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop

Brandon Bussi CAR

.865 save percentage

3.27 GAA · 2–2–2 · 6 starts

Jet Greaves COL

.883 save percentage

3.34 GAA · 2–3–0 · 1 shutout · 5 starts

Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.

Photo credits (1)

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included
PlayerChanceFair odds

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (5)
All NHL goal scorer picks today

Who will win Carolina Hurricanes vs Columbus Blue Jackets?

The numbers side with Carolina Hurricanes (66%) at home against Columbus Blue Jackets, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Carolina Hurricanes have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 4.0 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch. Columbus Blue Jackets have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 4.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Carolina Hurricanes sit 1st in the Eastern Conference, while Columbus Blue Jackets sit 16th in the Eastern Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Carolina Hurricanes rate +0.41 and Columbus Blue Jackets −0.37 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.78 goals to Carolina Hurricanes. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Carolina Hurricanes 56% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 19%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

Our own lines for this game: Carolina Hurricanes −1.5 on the puck line (40%) and 6.5 total goals, with the under at 54% (6.3 projected).

Carolina Hurricanes to win, overtime and shootout included (66%). Projected score: 3–2.

Team leaders

Carolina HurricanesThis seasonColumbus Blue Jackets

Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (8 games per team); current squads only.

Photo credits (3)

Recent form

W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day