NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Utah Mammoth prediction

Pittsburgh Penguins4–6–1 · Home Utah Mammoth7–4–0 · Away07:00 PMOct 29

50%win chance incl. overtime50%

Our pick

50%UTA50%UTA

Utah Mammoth to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.98 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with Utah Mammoth (50%) on the road against Pittsburgh Penguins, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

PITPittsburgh Penguins in 60'

40%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

UTAUtah Mammoth in 60'

41%

Game flow

PIT 3.2 · UTA 3.3 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–0.9

P2 · 1.2–1.2

P3 · 1.1–1.1

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Utah Mammoth50%1.98
Regulation result (60 minutes)Utah Mammoth41%2.46
Puck linePittsburgh Penguins +1.574%1.36
Total goalsOver 6.552%1.91
Both teams to scoreYes93%1.08

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Utah Mammoth

50%fair 1.98

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Utah Mammoth

41%fair 2.46

Puck line

Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5

74%fair 1.36

Total goals

Over 6.5

52%fair 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes

93%fair 1.08

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Lines

Lines from the last game · may change

Pittsburgh Penguins

Last game: Oct 22

AS37SilovsProjected

TN18NovakLW SC87CrosbyC RR67RakellRW

1st line

10:05 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
18	Tommy Novak LW	16:37	3	5	8
87	Sidney Crosby C	16:39	3	3	6
67	Rickard Rakell RW	19:06	1	3	4

18 points this season

AK62KuzmenkoLW BL46LizotteC

2McGroartyRW

2nd line

9:30 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	A	P
62	Andrei Kuzmenko LW	14:46	1	1
46	Blake Lizotte C	16:30	4	4
2	Rutger McGroarty RW	15:05	0	0

5 points this season

NR14RobertsonLW CD19DewarC ES25SöderblomRW

3rd line

8:44 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
14	Nick Robertson LW	14:06	6	0	6
19	Connor Dewar C	16:42	1	3	4
25	Elmer Söderblom RW	10:35	0	0	0

10 points this season

HL22LapierreLW EM71MalkinC VK41KoivunenRW

4th line

7:16 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
22	Hendrix Lapierre LW	10:54	2	3	5
71	Evgeni Malkin C	12:54	6	3	9
41	Ville Koivunen RW	13:26	1	3	4

18 points this season

EK65KarlssonD SS24StastneyD

1st pair

13:20 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
65	Erik Karlsson D	24:09	1	10	11
24	Spencer Stastney D	18:23	0	2	2

13 points this season

KK6KorczakD DC72CarlileD

2nd pair

12:13 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
6	Kaedan Korczak D	19:22	0	5	5
72	Declan Carlile D	19:13	3	2	5

10 points this season

KL58LetangD IS7SolovyovD

3rd pair

10:57 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
58	Kris Letang D	16:55	0	5	5
7	Ilya Solovyov D	16:38	0	0	0

5 points this season

RR67RakellF SC87CrosbyF TN18NovakF

VK41KoivunenF EK65KarlssonD

Power play unit 1

2:37 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
67	Rickard Rakell F	19:06	1	3	4
87	Sidney Crosby F	16:39	3	3	6
18	Tommy Novak F	16:37	3	5	8
41	Ville Koivunen F	13:26	1	3	4
65	Erik Karlsson D	24:09	1	10	11

33 points this season

2McGroartyF AK62KuzmenkoF EM71MalkinF

HL22LapierreF KL58LetangD

Power play unit 2

1:05 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
2	Rutger McGroarty F	15:05	0	0	0
62	Andrei Kuzmenko F	14:46	0	1	1
71	Evgeni Malkin F	12:54	6	3	9
22	Hendrix Lapierre F	10:54	2	3	5
58	Kris Letang D	16:55	0	5	5

20 points this season

CD19DewarF BL46LizotteF

KK6KorczakD DC72CarlileD

Penalty kill unit 1

1:37 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
19	Connor Dewar F	16:42	1	3	4
46	Blake Lizotte F	16:30	0	4	4
6	Kaedan Korczak D	19:22	0	5	5
72	Declan Carlile D	19:13	3	2	5

18 points this season

RR67RakellF NR14RobertsonF

EK65KarlssonD IS7SolovyovD

Penalty kill unit 2

1:12 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
67	Rickard Rakell F	19:06	1	3	4
14	Nick Robertson F	14:06	6	0	6
65	Erik Karlsson D	24:09	1	10	11
7	Ilya Solovyov D	16:38	0	0	0

21 points this season

Goalies: Arturs Silovs #37 (Projected) · Sergei Murashov #1 (Backup)

Utah Mammoth

Last game: Oct 22

70VejmelkaProjected

CK9KellerLW VT16TrocheckC DG11GuentherRW

1st line

6:44 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
9	Clayton Keller LW	20:09	4	7	11
16	Vincent Trocheck C	17:39	3	2	5
11	Dylan Guenther RW	20:10	4	5	9

25 points this season

LC67CrouseLW NS8SchmaltzC LC92CooleyRW

2nd line

4:21 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
67	Lawson Crouse LW	12:52	1	3	4
8	Nick Schmaltz C	17:49	7	6	13
92	Logan Cooley RW	17:25	3	5	8

25 points this season

AL72LeeLW BH27HaytonC KY56YamamotoRW

3rd line

9:13 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
72	Anders Lee LW	12:05	2	3	5
27	Barrett Hayton C	14:30	1	6	7
56	Kailer Yamamoto RW	13:44	2	4	6

18 points this season

DB50ButLW KS82StenlundC JM22McBainRW

4th line

7:41 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
50	Daniil But LW	9:34	2	2	4
82	Kevin Stenlund C	13:16	1	4	5
22	Jack McBain RW	12:16	1	2	3

12 points this season

98SergachevD MW52WeegarD

1st pair

15:16 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
98	Mikhail Sergachev D	26:58	0	0	0
52	MacKenzie Weegar D	22:36	2	1	3

3 points this season

AP20PeekeD NS88SchmidtD

2nd pair

10:56 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
20	Andrew Peeke D	20:42	1	2	3
88	Nate Schmidt D	20:13	1	2	3

6 points this season

DS26SimashevD

57DeSimoneD

3rd pair

5:48 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
26	Dmitri Simashev D	14:26	0	2	2
57	Nick DeSimone D	11:19	0	0	0

2 points this season

DG11GuentherF CK9KellerF NS8SchmaltzF

LC92CooleyF

98SergachevD

Power play unit 1

4:01 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
11	Dylan Guenther F	20:10	4	5	9
9	Clayton Keller F	20:09	4	7	11
8	Nick Schmaltz F	17:49	7	6	13
92	Logan Cooley F	17:25	3	5	8
98	Mikhail Sergachev D	26:58	0	0	0

41 points this season

VT16TrocheckF BH27HaytonF KY56YamamotoF

AL72LeeF MW52WeegarD

Power play unit 2

0:31 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
16	Vincent Trocheck F	17:39	3	2	5
27	Barrett Hayton F	14:30	1	6	7
56	Kailer Yamamoto F	13:44	2	4	6
72	Anders Lee F	12:05	2	3	5
52	MacKenzie Weegar D	22:36	2	1	3

26 points this season

KS82StenlundF LC67CrouseF

AP20PeekeD NS88SchmidtD

Penalty kill unit 1

1:09 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
82	Kevin Stenlund F	13:16	1	4	5
67	Lawson Crouse F	12:52	1	3	4
20	Andrew Peeke D	20:42	1	2	3
88	Nate Schmidt D	20:13	1	2	3

15 points this season

VT16TrocheckF BH27HaytonF

98SergachevD MW52WeegarD

Penalty kill unit 2

0:45 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
16	Vincent Trocheck F	17:39	3	2	5
27	Barrett Hayton F	14:30	1	6	7
98	Mikhail Sergachev D	26:58	0	0	0
52	MacKenzie Weegar D	22:36	2	1	3

15 points this season

Goalies: Karel Vejmelka #70 (Projected) · Sebastian Cossa #33 (Backup)

Swipe the rink to switch units

How we read the lines

From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.

Photo credits (6)

Rutger McGroarty · Martin Rulsch , Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Sergei Murashov · Gri3720, CC BY-SA 4.0
Mikhail Sergachev · Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0
Nick DeSimone · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
Karel Vejmelka · Quintin Soloviev, CC BY-SA 4.0
Sebastian Cossa · Kaiser matias, CC BY-SA 4.0

Goalie duel

Projected

Projected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop

Arturs Silovs PIT

.885 save percentage

3.01 GAA · 4–3–0 · 2 shutouts · 7 starts

Karel Vejmelka UTA

.874 save percentage

3.04 GAA · 5–3–0 · 1 shutout · 8 starts

Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.

Photo credits (1)

Karel Vejmelka · Quintin Soloviev, CC BY-SA 4.0

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

Evgeni MalkinPIT · C · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6431%3.27
Nick RobertsonPIT · LW · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6330%3.28
Nick SchmaltzUTA · C · 7 G in 11 GP · 11 GP7530%3.34
Clayton KellerUTA · RW · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4523%4.41
Bryan RustPIT · RW · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3323%4.42
Logan CooleyUTA · C · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3521%4.67
Sidney CrosbyPIT · C · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3420%5.00
Dylan GuentherUTA · RW · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4320%5.10
Vincent TrocheckUTA · C · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3319%5.35
Declan CarlilePIT · D · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3119%5.36

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

All NHL goal scorer picks today

Who will win Pittsburgh Penguins vs Utah Mammoth?

The numbers side with Utah Mammoth (50%) on the road against Pittsburgh Penguins, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Pittsburgh Penguins have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 4.2 goals a game over that stretch. Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.8 and allowing 4.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Pittsburgh Penguins sit 14th in the Eastern Conference, while Utah Mammoth sit 4th in the Western Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Pittsburgh Penguins rate −0.08 and Utah Mammoth +0.20 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.28 goals to Utah Mammoth. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.

About 20% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Utah Mammoth win it in regulation only 41% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 50%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Pittsburgh Penguins 0, Utah Mammoth 1); the latest finished Utah Mammoth 5–4 Pittsburgh Penguins on 2026-10-20.

Our own lines for this game: Utah Mammoth −1.5 on the puck line (26%) and 6.5 total goals, with the over at 52% (6.7 projected).

Utah Mammoth to win, overtime and shootout included (50%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Team leaders

Pittsburgh PenguinsThis seasonUtah Mammoth

Points
Erik Karlsson8 games11 M. Sergachyov10 games13
Goals
Evgeni Malkin6 games6 Nick Schmaltz8 games7
Assists
Erik Karlsson8 games10 M. Sergachyov10 games10
Penalty minutes
Declan Carlile6 games11 Jack McBain9 games21

Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (11 games per team); current squads only.

Recent form

Pittsburgh Penguins

W4–0L4–5L2–6 L2–5 L3–5

Utah Mammoth

L3–5W5–4L2–6 W4–2 W5–4

W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation

Head to head

Oct 19Utah Mammoth 5–4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Utah Mammoth prediction

Our pick

Game flow

Markets

Lines

Goalie duel

Who scores

Who will win Pittsburgh Penguins vs Utah Mammoth?

Team leaders

Recent form

Head to head

Other games that day