National League

Fribourg-Gottéron vs Genève-Servette prediction

Fribourg-Gottéron8–4–2 · Home Genève-Servette8–5–2 · Away07:45 PMOct 30

64%win chance incl. overtime36%

Our pick

64%FRI64%FRI

Fribourg-Gottéron to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.56 · projected 3–2

Fribourg-Gottéron are the pick at home against Genève-Servette: a 64% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

FRIFribourg-Gottéron in 60'

54%

Tied → OTTied → OT

18%

GENGenève-Servette in 60'

28%

Game flow

FRI 3.4 · GEN 2.5 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–0.7

P2 · 1.0–0.8

P3 · 1.3–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Fribourg-Gottéron64%1.56
Regulation result (60 minutes)Fribourg-Gottéron54%1.85
Puck lineGenève-Servette +1.562%1.61
Total goalsOver 5.553%1.88
Both teams to scoreYes89%1.12

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Fribourg-Gottéron

64%fair 1.56

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Fribourg-Gottéron

54%fair 1.85

Puck line

Genève-Servette +1.5

62%fair 1.61

Total goals

Over 5.5

53%fair 1.88

Both teams to score

Yes

89%fair 1.12

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

C. BertschyFRI · 9 G in 14 GP · 14 GP9736%2.81
S. SchmidFRI · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7627%3.68
T. BozonGEN · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4622%4.50
H. BorgstromFRI · 3 G in 7 GP · 7 GP3521%4.68
A. RichardFRI · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4621%4.83
N. MarchonFRI · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4120%5.06
J. PuljujarviGEN · 6 G in 15 GP · 15 GP6219%5.19
S. ManninenGEN · 5 G in 15 GP · 15 GP5018%5.55
J. JoorisGEN · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3216%6.37
D. SutterGEN · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2014%7.10

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Fribourg-Gottéron vs Genève-Servette?

Fribourg-Gottéron are the pick at home against Genève-Servette: a 64% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Fribourg-Gottéron have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 5.0 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch. Genève-Servette have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 4.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Fribourg-Gottéron sit 3rd, while Genève-Servette sit 4th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Fribourg-Gottéron rate +0.42 and Genève-Servette −0.16 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.58 goals to Fribourg-Gottéron. Home ice is worth about 0.29 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Fribourg-Gottéron 54% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 18%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Fribourg-Gottéron 0, Genève-Servette 1); the latest finished Genève-Servette 4–3 Fribourg-Gottéron on 2026-09-25.

Our own lines for this game: Fribourg-Gottéron −1.5 on the puck line (38%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 53% (6.1 projected).

Fribourg-Gottéron to win, overtime and shootout included (64%). Projected score: 3–2.