Slovak Extraliga

Žilina vs Nitra prediction

Žilina8–3–2 · Home Nitra6–6–1 · Away05:30 PMOct 30

64%win chance incl. overtime36%

Our pick

64%ŽIL64%ŽIL

Žilina to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.55 · projected 3–2

Žilina are the pick at home against Nitra: a 64% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

ŽILŽilina in 60'

54%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

NITNitra in 60'

27%

Game flow

ŽIL 3.0 · NIT 2.2 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–0.6

P2 · 1.3–0.8

P3 · 0.8–0.8

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Žilina64%1.55
Regulation result (60 minutes)Žilina54%1.84
Puck lineNitra +1.563%1.59
Total goalsUnder 5.557%1.75
Both teams to scoreYes85%1.18

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Žilina

64%fair 1.55

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Žilina

54%fair 1.84

Puck line

Nitra +1.5

63%fair 1.59

Total goals

Under 5.5

57%fair 1.75

Both teams to score

Yes

85%fair 1.18

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

S. PetrasŽIL · 11 G in 13 GP · 13 GP11440%2.47
P. RepcikŽIL · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4624%4.19
K. WalegaŽIL · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5624%4.24
P. GalambosŽIL · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3323%4.40
R. JacksonNIT · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7622%4.53
A. TuranskyNIT · 5 G in 8 GP · 8 GP5522%4.59
F. VasasŽIL · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3318%5.71
M. KristofNIT · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5317%5.74
M. PaulovicNIT · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4416%6.23
B. PollockNIT · 2 G in 6 GP · 6 GP2613%7.67

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Žilina vs Nitra?

Žilina are the pick at home against Nitra: a 64% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Žilina have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 1.2 goals a game over that stretch. Nitra have won 5 of their last 5, scoring 4.0 and allowing 1.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Žilina sit 2nd, while Nitra sit 9th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Žilina rate +0.47 and Nitra +0.11 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.36 goals to Žilina. Home ice is worth about 0.49 goals a game in this league.

About 19% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Žilina win it in regulation only 54% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 64%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Žilina 0, Nitra 1); the latest finished Nitra 3–1 Žilina on 2026-09-25.

Our own lines for this game: Žilina −1.5 on the puck line (37%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 57% (5.4 projected).

Žilina to win, overtime and shootout included (64%). Projected score: 3–2.