Slovak Extraliga

Spišská Nová Ves vs Banská Bystrica prediction

Spišská Nová Ves8–4–0 · Home Banská Bystrica6–4–1 · Away04:30 PMOct 25

59%win chance incl. overtime41%

Our pick

59%SPI59%SPI

Spišská Nová Ves to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.69 · projected 3–2

The numbers side with Spisska Nova Ves (59%) at home against Ban. Bystrica, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

SPISpišská Nová Ves in 60'

49%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

BANBanská Bystrica in 60'

31%

Game flow

SPI 3.1 · BAN 2.5 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–0.8

P2 · 1.0–0.8

P3 · 1.1–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Spišská Nová Ves59%1.69
Regulation result (60 minutes)Spišská Nová Ves49%2.03
Puck lineBanská Bystrica +1.567%1.49
Total goalsUnder 5.552%1.92
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.14

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Spišská Nová Ves

59%fair 1.69

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Spišská Nová Ves

49%fair 2.03

Puck line

Banská Bystrica +1.5

67%fair 1.49

Total goals

Under 5.5

52%fair 1.92

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.14

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

D. MartelSPI · 7 G in 12 GP · 12 GP7430%3.35
X. CormierSPI · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5625%3.98
M. KabacBAN · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6225%4.06
M. SramatySPI · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4324%4.15
J. JaaskelainenSPI · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4320%4.89
T. LepausSPI · 3 G in 9 GP · 9 GP3819%5.14
R. TicarBAN · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3418%5.63
D. SoltesBAN · 3 G in 9 GP · 9 GP3418%5.65
S. GronBAN · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2316%6.36
L. TomkaBAN · 2 G in 6 GP · 6 GP2116%6.37

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Spišská Nová Ves vs Banská Bystrica?

The numbers side with Spisska Nova Ves (59%) at home against Ban. Bystrica, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Spisska Nova Ves have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.2 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch. Ban. Bystrica have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 3.4 goals a game over that stretch.

Spisska Nova Ves sit 5th, while Ban. Bystrica sit 8th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Spisska Nova Ves rate +0.19 and Ban. Bystrica +0.03 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.16 goals to Spisska Nova Ves. Home ice is worth about 0.40 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Spisska Nova Ves 49% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 19%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Spisska Nova Ves 1, Ban. Bystrica 0); the latest finished Ban. Bystrica 2–3 Spisska Nova Ves on 2026-09-20.

Our own lines for this game: Spisska Nova Ves −1.5 on the puck line (33%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 52% (5.8 projected).

Spisska Nova Ves to win, overtime and shootout included (59%). Projected score: 3–2.