Slovak Extraliga

Prešov vs Žilina prediction

Prešov0–10–3 · Home Žilina8–3–2 · Away04:30 PMOct 25

38%win chance incl. overtime62%

Our pick

62%ŽIL62%ŽIL

Žilina to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.61 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with Žilina (62%) on the road against Prešov, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

PREPrešov in 60'

29%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

ŽILŽilina in 60'

52%

Game flow

PRE 2.5 · ŽIL 3.2 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.6–1.1

P2 · 1.1–1.0

P3 · 0.7–1.2

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Žilina62%1.61
Regulation result (60 minutes)Žilina52%1.91
Puck linePrešov +1.564%1.56
Total goalsUnder 5.550%2.00
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.14

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Žilina

62%fair 1.61

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Žilina

52%fair 1.91

Puck line

Prešov +1.5

64%fair 1.56

Total goals

Under 5.5

50%fair 2.00

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.14

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

S. PetrasŽIL · 11 G in 13 GP · 13 GP11442%2.39
D. ArchibaldPRE · 9 G in 13 GP · 13 GP9634%2.91
P. RepcikŽIL · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4625%4.03
K. WalegaŽIL · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5625%4.07
P. GalambosŽIL · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3324%4.22
F. VasasŽIL · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3318%5.48
D. PenningtonPRE · 3 G in 9 GP · 9 GP3518%5.48
G. SmithPRE · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3617%5.87
K. Jeri-LeonPRE · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3317%6.06
M. FeranecPRE · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3516%6.22

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Prešov vs Žilina?

The numbers side with Žilina (62%) on the road against Prešov, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Prešov have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 5.4 goals a game over that stretch. Žilina have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 1.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Prešov sit 12th, while Žilina sit 2nd.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Prešov rate −0.72 and Žilina +0.48 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 1.20 goals to Žilina. Home ice is worth about 0.46 goals a game in this league.

About 19% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Žilina win it in regulation only 52% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 62%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Prešov 0, Žilina 1); the latest finished Žilina 5–2 Prešov on 2026-09-20.

Our own lines for this game: Žilina −1.5 on the puck line (36%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 50% (5.9 projected).

Žilina to win, overtime and shootout included (62%). Projected score: 3–2.