Slovak Extraliga

Slovan Bratislava vs Košice prediction

Slovan Bratislava8–4–1 · Home Košice8–5–0 · Away04:00 PMOct 25

63%win chance incl. overtime37%

Our pick

63%SLO63%SLO

Slovan Bratislava to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.58 · projected 3–2

Slovan Bratislava are 63% favourites at home against Košice, with the model projecting a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

SLOSlovan Bratislava in 60'

54%

Tied → OTTied → OT

18%

KOŠKošice in 60'

28%

Game flow

SLO 3.2 · KOŠ 2.4 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–0.6

P2 · 1.2–0.9

P3 · 1.1–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Slovan Bratislava63%1.58
Regulation result (60 minutes)Slovan Bratislava54%1.86
Puck lineKošice +1.563%1.59
Total goalsUnder 5.551%1.97
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.14

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Slovan Bratislava

63%fair 1.58

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Slovan Bratislava

54%fair 1.86

Puck line

Košice +1.5

63%fair 1.59

Total goals

Under 5.5

51%fair 1.97

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.14

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

R. DmowskiSLO · 8 G in 12 GP · 12 GP8733%3.02
T. MikusKOŠ · 6 G in 12 GP · 12 GP6526%3.87
R. VargaSLO · 5 G in 10 GP · 10 GP5124%4.17
P. LamperKOŠ · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6123%4.28
J. PetriskaSLO · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4423%4.35
R. O'ConnorSLO · 3 G in 7 GP · 7 GP3223%4.44
S. BucekSLO · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4419%5.14
M. BuckoKOŠ · 2 G in 5 GP · 5 GP2418%5.45
S. JellusKOŠ · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4217%5.96
R. DeylKOŠ · 2 G in 6 GP · 6 GP2115%6.62

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Slovan Bratislava vs Košice?

Slovan Bratislava are 63% favourites at home against Košice, with the model projecting a 3–2 final.

Slovan Bratislava carry a clear edge into this game, and the model's 63% win probability, overtime and shootout included, reflects it. The two clubs are close in the table, with Košice 3rd and Slovan Bratislava 4th, but the ratings separate them: adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Slovan Bratislava rate +0.46 goals per game against an average team and Košice +0.10, an edge of 0.36 goals. Home ice, worth about 0.46 goals a game in this league, pushes that advantage further in Slovan Bratislava's favour.

Recent form is level on results, since both sides have won 3 of their last 5. The difference is in how they have got there: Slovan Bratislava have scored 4.0 and allowed 2.6 goals a game over that stretch, while Košice have scored 2.4 and allowed 2.4. Slovan Bratislava's heavier scoring gives them more room to win a game that stays tight, and the model's 3–2 projection fits that pattern.

The head-to-head offers little separation, with the teams having met 2 times recently and each winning once. The latest finished Košice 2–4 Slovan Bratislava on 2026-09-23, a result that supports the home side's case without settling anything. Inside 60 minutes the model gives Slovan Bratislava 54% to win, with an 18% chance the game is tied after three periods and goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout. Košice's case rests on their own 3 wins in 5 and a defence that has conceded 2.4 a game, which keeps them close in a low-margin game.

The market's view of the winner is consistent with the ratings: Slovan Bratislava are favoured at 63%, and the projected 3–2 scoreline is the sort of one-goal game their scoring edge and home ice would produce. Košice sit a place higher in the table, but the adjusted numbers and the home-ice value point to Slovan Bratislava as the stronger side for this matchup.

The projected 3–2 final sits just under the 5.5 total, and the model puts the under at 51% with 5.8 projected goals, so the total is close to a coin flip. On the puck line, Slovan Bratislava −1.5 comes in at 37%, meaning a one-goal win is the likelier outcome than a cover, which fits a 3–2 projection and the 18% chance of a tie after three periods.

Slovan Bratislava to win, overtime and shootout included, at 63%, with a projected score of 3–2.