DEL2

Landshut vs Bietigheim Steelers prediction

Landshut6–3–2 · Home Bietigheim Steelers4–5–2 · Away05:00 PMOct 25

57%win chance incl. overtime43%

Our pick

57%LAN57%LAN

Landshut to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.74 · projected 3–2

Landshut are the pick to win at 57%, with a projected 3–2 scoreline against Bietigheim Steelers.

After 60 minutes

LANLandshut in 60'

48%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

BIEBietigheim Steelers in 60'

34%

Game flow

LAN 3.5 · BIE 3.0 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.2–1.1

P2 · 1.0–0.9

P3 · 1.2–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Landshut57%1.74
Regulation result (60 minutes)Landshut48%2.09
Puck lineBietigheim Steelers +1.567%1.49
Total goalsOver 6.552%1.92
Both teams to scoreYes92%1.08

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Landshut

57%fair 1.74

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Landshut

48%fair 2.09

Puck line

Bietigheim Steelers +1.5

67%fair 1.49

Total goals

Over 6.5

52%fair 1.92

Both teams to score

Yes

92%fair 1.08

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

C. FonstadBIE · 9 G in 10 GP · 10 GP91039%2.54
D. StielerLAN · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6532%3.17
M. RoyLAN · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5829%3.50
T. ImmoLAN · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5527%3.71
T. GoochLAN · 4 G in 10 GP · 10 GP4925%3.93
T. SchwarzLAN · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3424%4.18
N. RitchieBIE · 4 G in 10 GP · 10 GP4423%4.35
D. CernyBIE · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4520%4.89
J. DuganBIE · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3518%5.64
S. RaabeBIE · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3016%6.13

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Landshut vs Bietigheim Steelers?

Landshut are the pick to win at 57%, with a projected 3–2 scoreline against Bietigheim Steelers.

Landshut come into this one with the stronger recent record, having won 3 of their last 5, and they sit 4th in the table while Bietigheim Steelers are 9th. Both teams have scored 3.8 goals a game over that five-game stretch, so the difference is at the other end: Landshut have allowed 3.0, Bietigheim Steelers 4.0. That gap in defensive output fits with the standings and gives the home side the clearer case.

The ratings back that up. Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Landshut rate +0.08 goals per game against an average team and Bietigheim Steelers −0.06, an edge of 0.15 goals to Landshut. Add home ice, worth about 0.28 goals a game in this league, and the model's lean toward the home team makes sense. It is not a wide margin, though, which is why the win probability sits at 57%.

Inside 60 minutes the model gives Landshut 47% and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 19%, with overtime and a shootout deciding it from there. Bietigheim Steelers' case rests on their scoring rate matching Landshut's over the recent stretch and on the possibility of dragging this into extra time. The market's view of the winner is a narrow one, and the predictions reflect that rather than a comfortable home night.

The most likely final score is 3–2, which is consistent with two teams scoring at 3.8 goals a game recently and with Landshut's better defensive numbers. That scoreline keeps the game inside one goal, so the outcome could turn on a single finish or a special-teams moment. Given how close the model sees it, the lean toward Landshut should be treated with care.

The projected 3–2 score sits one goal shy of the 6.5 total line, and the model puts the over at 52% with 6.7 projected goals, so the total is close to a split. On the puck line, Landshut −1.5 carries 32%, which fits a game the model expects to be decided by a single goal. The 3–2 projection means a Landshut win would not cover the −1.5 line, and the total would land under 6.5.

Landshut to win, overtime and shootout included, at 57%, with a projected score of 3–2.