Slovak Extraliga

Liptovský Mikuláš vs Spišská Nová Ves prediction

Liptovský Mikuláš7–5–1 · Home Spišská Nová Ves8–5–0 · Away06:00 PMOct 30

56%win chance incl. overtime44%

Our pick

56%LIP56%LIP

Liptovský Mikuláš to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.80 · projected 3–2

Liptovský Mikuláš are the pick at home against Spišská Nová Ves: a 56% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

LIPLiptovský Mikuláš in 60'

46%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

SPISpišská Nová Ves in 60'

35%

Game flow

LIP 3.0 · SPI 2.6 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–0.6

P2 · 0.9–1.0

P3 · 1.2–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Liptovský Mikuláš56%1.80
Regulation result (60 minutes)Liptovský Mikuláš46%2.19
Puck lineSpišská Nová Ves +1.570%1.42
Total goalsUnder 5.551%1.95
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.13

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Liptovský Mikuláš

56%fair 1.80

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Liptovský Mikuláš

46%fair 2.19

Puck line

Spišská Nová Ves +1.5

70%fair 1.42

Total goals

Under 5.5

51%fair 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.13

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

M. VojtechLIP · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6731%3.20
D. MartelSPI · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7126%3.84
B. CoeLIP · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5626%3.90
J. JaworskiLIP · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5123%4.36
X. CormierSPI · 5 G in 12 GP · 12 GP5322%4.57
M. SramatySPI · 4 G in 10 GP · 10 GP4321%4.77
J. JaaskelainenSPI · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4318%5.62
M. FerkodicLIP · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2217%5.83
T. LepausSPI · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3517%5.91
S. AcolatseLIP · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3017%6.00

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Liptovský Mikuláš vs Spišská Nová Ves?

Liptovský Mikuláš are the pick at home against Spišská Nová Ves: a 56% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Liptovský Mikuláš have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch. Spišská Nová Ves have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch.

Liptovský Mikuláš sit 6th, while Spišská Nová Ves sit 5th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Liptovský Mikuláš rate −0.04 and Spišská Nová Ves +0.12 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.16 goals to Spišská Nová Ves. Home ice is worth about 0.49 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Liptovský Mikuláš 46% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 19%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Liptovský Mikuláš 1, Spišská Nová Ves 0); the latest finished Spišská Nová Ves 2–3 Liptovský Mikuláš on 2026-09-25.

Our own lines for this game: Liptovský Mikuláš −1.5 on the puck line (30%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 51% (5.8 projected).

Liptovský Mikuláš to win, overtime and shootout included (56%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.