ICE Hockey League

Graz99ers vs Klagenfurt prediction

Graz99ers7–4–2 · Home Klagenfurt9–4–1 · Away06:30 PMOct 30

48%win chance incl. overtime52%

Our pick

52%KLA52%KLA

Klagenfurt to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.91 · projected 2–3

Our model makes Klagenfurt 52% favourites on the road against Graz99ers, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

GRAGraz99ers in 60'

38%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

KLAKlagenfurt in 60'

43%

Game flow

GRA 3.0 · KLA 3.1 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–1.1

P2 · 1.1–1.1

P3 · 0.9–0.8

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Klagenfurt52%1.91
Regulation result (60 minutes)Klagenfurt43%2.35
Puck lineGraz99ers +1.572%1.38
Total goalsUnder 6.554%1.84
Both teams to scoreYes91%1.10

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Klagenfurt

52%fair 1.91

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Klagenfurt

43%fair 2.35

Puck line

Graz99ers +1.5

72%fair 1.38

Total goals

Under 6.5

54%fair 1.84

Both teams to score

Yes

91%fair 1.10

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

P. HuberGRA · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7731%3.21
N. SwaneyGRA · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7429%3.48
C. HanusGRA · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4523%4.28
T. HundertpfundKLA · 6 G in 14 GP · 14 GP6523%4.36
N. PetersenKLA · 6 G in 14 GP · 14 GP6123%4.42
J. LippitschGRA · 3 G in 6 GP · 6 GP3222%4.55
T. SablattnigKLA · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5421%4.66
D. WaschnigKLA · 5 G in 14 GP · 14 GP5221%4.81
C. CollinsGRA · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3320%5.10
D. ObersteinerKLA · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4419%5.26

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (1)

T. Hundertpfund · Ex13, CC BY-SA 3.0

Who will win Graz99ers vs Klagenfurt?

Our model makes Klagenfurt 52% favourites on the road against Graz99ers, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Graz99ers have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.4 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch. Klagenfurt have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.6 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch.

Graz99ers sit 7th, while Klagenfurt sit 3rd.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Graz99ers rate −0.06 and Klagenfurt +0.36 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.41 goals to Klagenfurt. Home ice is worth about 0.27 goals a game in this league.

About 19% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Klagenfurt win it in regulation only 43% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 52%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Graz99ers 0, Klagenfurt 1); the latest finished Klagenfurt 6–2 Graz99ers on 2026-09-27.

Our own lines for this game: Klagenfurt −1.5 on the puck line (28%) and 6.5 total goals, with the under at 54% (6.3 projected).

Klagenfurt to win, overtime and shootout included (52%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.