ICE Hockey League

Salzburg vs Pioneers Vorarlberg prediction

Salzburg6–6–1 · Home Pioneers Vorarlberg0–13–1 · Away03:00 PMOct 25

65%win chance incl. overtime35%

Our pick

65%SAL65%SAL

Salzburg to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.54 · projected 3–2

Salzburg are the pick at 65% to beat Pioneers Vorarlberg, with a projected score of 3–2.

After 60 minutes

SALSalzburg in 60'

55%

Tied → OTTied → OT

18%

PIOPioneers Vorarlberg in 60'

27%

Game flow

SAL 3.6 · PIO 2.6 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.1–0.8

P2 · 1.4–1.1

P3 · 1.2–0.7

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Salzburg65%1.54
Regulation result (60 minutes)Salzburg55%1.81
Puck linePioneers Vorarlberg +1.560%1.65
Total goalsUnder 6.552%1.91
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Salzburg

65%fair 1.54

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Salzburg

55%fair 1.81

Puck line

Pioneers Vorarlberg +1.5

60%fair 1.65

Total goals

Under 6.5

52%fair 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

P. SchneiderSAL · 10 G in 10 GP · 10 GP10447%2.11
G. van NesPIO · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7228%3.57
B. MurrayPIO · 6 G in 14 GP · 14 GP6528%3.58
M. HuberSAL · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4525%3.98
M. BohmSAL · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2120%4.91
N. PoissonSAL · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3220%4.92
B. NissnerSAL · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3520%4.92
N. SerdachnyPIO · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4219%5.39
B. SummerPIO · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2117%5.79
J. SeppalaPIO · 2 G in 12 GP · 12 GP2114%7.34

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (3)

P. Schneider · MacKrys, CC BY-SA 4.0
M. Huber · Ailura, CC BY-SA 3.0 at
B. Nissner · Ailura, CC BY-SA 3.0 at

Who will win Salzburg vs Pioneers Vorarlberg?

Salzburg are the pick at 65% to beat Pioneers Vorarlberg, with a projected score of 3–2.

Salzburg come into this home game with three wins in their last five, and their goals-for and goals-against both sit at 2.8 per game across that run. Pioneers Vorarlberg have lost all five of their most recent games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 4.0 per game over the same stretch. That gap in recent results frames the matchup, with the visitors arriving in poor form and the hosts at least steady.

The table places Salzburg 10th and Pioneers Vorarlberg 14th, so there is a clear separation in the standings as well. The ratings reinforce it: adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Salzburg rate −0.11 goals per game against an average team and Pioneers Vorarlberg −0.75, an edge of 0.64 goals to Salzburg. Home ice, worth about 0.30 goals a game in this league, adds to that cushion.

The recent head-to-head is short but one-sided: the teams have met once recently, and Pioneers Vorarlberg lost that game 1–4 to Salzburg on 2026-10-02. The market makes Salzburg a 65% winner once overtime and the shootout are included, though about 18% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Salzburg take it in regulation only 55% of the time on our numbers. The projected score of 3–2 fits a game that Salzburg control without running away with it.

The projected 3–2 scoreline lands right on the 6.5 total, and our under at 54% reflects a projected 6.3 goals, so the lean is to the under. On the puck line, Salzburg −1.5 is priced at 39%, meaning a one-goal Salzburg win is the more likely outcome than a cover, which is consistent with a 3–2 projection.

Salzburg to win, overtime and shootout included, at 65%, with a projected score of 3–2.