ICE Hockey League

Klagenfurt vs Bolzano prediction

Klagenfurt9–4–1 · Home Bolzano10–1–2 · Away05:30 PMOct 25

49%win chance incl. overtime51%

Our pick

51%BOL51%BOL

Bolzano to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.96 · projected 2–3

Our model makes Bolzano 51% favourites on the road against Klagenfurt, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

KLAKlagenfurt in 60'

39%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

BOLBolzano in 60'

42%

Game flow

KLA 3.2 · BOL 3.2 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.2–1.0

P2 · 1.1–1.2

P3 · 0.9–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Bolzano51%1.96
Regulation result (60 minutes)Bolzano42%2.41
Puck lineKlagenfurt +1.573%1.37
Total goalsOver 6.551%1.96
Both teams to scoreYes92%1.08

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Bolzano

51%fair 1.96

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Bolzano

42%fair 2.41

Puck line

Klagenfurt +1.5

73%fair 1.37

Total goals

Over 6.5

51%fair 1.96

Both teams to score

Yes

92%fair 1.08

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

B. McClureBOL · 10 G in 13 GP · 13 GP10534%2.96
D. MantenutoBOL · 6 G in 10 GP · 10 GP6628%3.55
I. RatcliffeBOL · 7 G in 12 GP · 12 GP7628%3.58
C. DiGiacintoBOL · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5824%4.24
T. HundertpfundKLA · 6 G in 14 GP · 14 GP6523%4.30
N. PetersenKLA · 6 G in 14 GP · 14 GP6123%4.36
T. SablattnigKLA · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5422%4.60
D. WaschnigKLA · 5 G in 14 GP · 14 GP5221%4.74
T. ElsonBOL · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5420%4.93
D. ObersteinerKLA · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4419%5.18

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (1)

T. Hundertpfund · Ex13, CC BY-SA 3.0

Who will win Klagenfurt vs Bolzano?

Our model makes Bolzano 51% favourites on the road against Klagenfurt, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Klagenfurt have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.6 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch. Bolzano have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 5.0 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Klagenfurt sit 3rd, while Bolzano sit 1st.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Klagenfurt rate +0.36 and Bolzano +0.71 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.35 goals to Bolzano. Home ice is worth about 0.27 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Bolzano 42% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 19%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Klagenfurt 0, Bolzano 1); the latest finished Bolzano 4–0 Klagenfurt on 2026-10-02.

Our own lines for this game: Bolzano −1.5 on the puck line (27%) and 6.5 total goals, with the over at 51% (6.6 projected).

Bolzano to win, overtime and shootout included (51%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.