NHL

Seattle Kraken vs Minnesota Wild prediction

Seattle Kraken7–3–1 · Home Minnesota Wild6–3–2 · Away10:00 PMOct 24

47%win chance incl. overtime53%

Our pick

53%MIN53%MIN

Minnesota Wild to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.90 · projected 2–3

Minnesota Wild are the pick on the road against Seattle Kraken: a 53% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

SEASeattle Kraken in 60'

37%

Tied → OTTied → OT

22%

MINMinnesota Wild in 60'

42%

Game flow

SEA 3.1 · MIN 2.9 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.1–1.0

P2 · 1.0–0.9

P3 · 0.9–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Minnesota Wild53%1.90
Regulation result (60 minutes)Minnesota Wild42%2.41
Puck lineSeattle Kraken +1.577%1.29
Total goalsUnder 6.554%1.84
Both teams to scoreYes89%1.12

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Minnesota Wild

53%fair 1.90

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Minnesota Wild

42%fair 2.41

Puck line

Seattle Kraken +1.5

77%fair 1.29

Total goals

Under 6.5

54%fair 1.84

Both teams to score

Yes

89%fair 1.12

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Lines

Lines from the last game · may change

Seattle Kraken

Last game: Oct 22

PG31GrubauerProjected

JM19McCannLW MB10BeniersC JE7EberleRW

1st line

10:15 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
19	Jared McCann LW	16:42	3	5	8
10	Matty Beniers C	18:42	3	2	5
7	Jordan Eberle RW	18:19	4	5	9

22 points this season

CS9StephensonLW BM74McMannC MS11SamoskevichRW

2nd line

9:05 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
9	Chandler Stephenson LW	16:37	1	8	9
74	Bobby McMann C	17:02	3	2	5
11	Mackie Samoskevich RW	12:44	5	1	6

20 points this season

BM59MeyersLW FG89GaudreauC RW26WintertonRW

3rd line

9:03 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
59	Ben Meyers LW	13:07	1	4	5
89	Frederick Gaudreau C	15:25	6	2	8
26	Ryan Winterton RW	11:58	2	4	6

19 points this season

SW51WrightLW BC27CattonC KK84KakkoRW

4th line

8:38 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
51	Shane Wright LW	11:34	3	1	4
27	Berkly Catton C	14:26	2	6	8
84	Kaapo Kakko RW	13:22	2	7	9

21 points this season

BM62MontourD RE41EvansD

1st pair

16:12 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
62	Brandon Montour D	27:21	2	6	8
41	Ryker Evans D	22:33	2	4	6

14 points this season

VD29DunnD AL6LarssonD

2nd pair

17:52 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
29	Vince Dunn D	25:53	2	6	8
6	Adam Larsson D	22:26	0	2	2

10 points this season

JM28MahuraD VO46OttavainenD

3rd pair

7:26 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
28	Josh Mahura D	10:18	0	2	2
46	Ville Ottavainen D	7:51	1	0	1

3 points this season

JE7EberleF BM74McMannF JM19McCannF

CS9StephensonF VD29DunnD

Power play unit 1

2:05 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
7	Jordan Eberle F	18:19	4	5	9
74	Bobby McMann F	17:02	3	2	5
19	Jared McCann F	16:42	3	5	8
9	Chandler Stephenson F	16:37	1	8	9
29	Vince Dunn D	25:53	2	6	8

39 points this season

MB10BeniersF BC27CattonF KK84KakkoF

MS11SamoskevichF BM62MontourD

Power play unit 2

1:31 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
10	Matty Beniers F	18:42	3	2	5
27	Berkly Catton F	14:26	2	6	8
84	Kaapo Kakko F	13:22	2	7	9
11	Mackie Samoskevich F	12:44	5	1	6
62	Brandon Montour D	27:21	2	6	8

36 points this season

FG89GaudreauF BM59MeyersF

VD29DunnD AL6LarssonD

Penalty kill unit 1

1:10 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
89	Frederick Gaudreau F	15:25	6	2	8
59	Ben Meyers F	13:07	1	4	5
29	Vince Dunn D	25:53	2	6	8
6	Adam Larsson D	22:26	0	2	2

23 points this season

MB10BeniersF RW26WintertonF

BM62MontourD RE41EvansD

Penalty kill unit 2

0:40 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
10	Matty Beniers F	18:42	3	2	5
26	Ryan Winterton F	11:58	2	4	6
62	Brandon Montour D	27:21	2	6	8
41	Ryker Evans D	22:33	2	4	6

25 points this season

Goalies: Philipp Grubauer #31 (Projected) · Joey Daccord #35 (Backup)

Minnesota Wild

Last game: Oct 22

JW30WallstedtProjected

MB12BoldyLW JE14EkC KK97KaprizovRW

1st line

11:44 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
12	Matt Boldy LW	25:05	5	4	9
14	Joel Eriksson Ek C	23:14	2	4	6
97	Kirill Kaprizov RW	24:54	11	6	17

32 points this season

BC20ColemanLW RH38HartmanC BB10BrinkRW

2nd line

8:02 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
20	Blake Coleman LW	14:23	2	1	3
38	Ryan Hartman C	13:15	1	0	1
10	Bobby Brink RW	13:57	0	3	3

7 points this season

RL61LorenzLW YT13TreninC DY22YurovRW

3rd line

6:55 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
61	Rieger Lorenz LW	8:40	0	0	0
13	Yakov Trenin C	10:49	0	2	2
22	Danila Yurov RW	19:27	4	0	4

6 points this season

NS78SturmLW MM47McCarronC

19PitlickRW

4th line

5:35 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
78	Nico Sturm LW	9:52	0	1	1
47	Michael McCarron C	11:28	1	4	5
19	Tyler Pitlick RW	6:44	0	0	0

6 points this season

QH43HughesD JB25BrodinD

1st pair

12:43 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
43	Quinn Hughes D	31:04	2	10	12
25	Jonas Brodin D	19:06	0	3	3

15 points this season

JS46SpurgeonD DH48HuntD

2nd pair

7:32 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
46	Jared Spurgeon D	19:19	1	4	5
48	Daemon Hunt D	16:09	0	0	0

5 points this season

ZB24BogosianD OM3MäättäD

3rd pair

7:44 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
24	Zach Bogosian D	14:18	0	0	0
3	Olli Määttä D	14:16	0	2	2

2 points this season

MB12BoldyF KK97KaprizovF JE14EkF

DY22YurovF QH43HughesD

Power play unit 1

5:19 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
12	Matt Boldy F	25:05	5	4	9
97	Kirill Kaprizov F	24:54	11	6	17
14	Joel Eriksson Ek F	23:14	2	4	6
22	Danila Yurov F	19:27	4	0	4
43	Quinn Hughes D	31:04	2	10	12

48 points this season

BC20ColemanF BB10BrinkF RH38HartmanF

JS46SpurgeonD DH48HuntD

Power play unit 2

1:26 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
20	Blake Coleman F	14:23	2	1	3
10	Bobby Brink F	13:57	0	3	3
38	Ryan Hartman F	13:15	1	0	1
46	Jared Spurgeon D	19:19	1	4	5
48	Daemon Hunt D	16:09	0	0	0

12 points this season

DY22YurovF YT13TreninF

ZB24BogosianD OM3MäättäD

Penalty kill unit 1

1:18 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
22	Danila Yurov F	19:27	4	0	4
13	Yakov Trenin F	10:49	0	2	2
24	Zach Bogosian D	14:18	0	0	0
3	Olli Määttä D	14:16	0	2	2

8 points this season

MM47McCarronF NS78SturmF

JS46SpurgeonD JB25BrodinD

Penalty kill unit 2

1:15 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
47	Michael McCarron F	11:28	1	4	5
78	Nico Sturm F	9:52	0	1	1
46	Jared Spurgeon D	19:19	1	4	5
25	Jonas Brodin D	19:06	0	3	3

14 points this season

Goalies: Jesper Wallstedt #30 (Projected) · Calvin Pickard #31 (Backup)

Swipe the rink to switch units

How we read the lines

From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.

Photo credits (2)

Tyler Pitlick · Connor Mah, CC BY-SA 3.0
Calvin Pickard · ArtBrom, CC BY-SA 2.0

Goalie duel

Projected

Projected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop

Philipp Grubauer SEA

.907 save percentage

2.76 GAA · 4–1–1 · 6 starts

Jesper Wallstedt MIN

.915 save percentage

2.19 GAA · 6–2–2 · 10 starts

Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

Kirill KaprizovMIN · LW · 11 G in 11 GP · 11 GP11844%2.28
Frederick GaudreauSEA · C · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6328%3.62
Matt BoldyMIN · LW · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5627%3.76
Mackie SamoskevichSEA · RW · 5 G in 9 GP · 9 GP5326%3.81
Danila YurovMIN · RW · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4224%4.08
Jordan EberleSEA · RW · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4420%4.91
Matty BeniersSEA · C · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3218%5.68
Bobby McMannSEA · C · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3217%5.83
Joel Eriksson EkMIN · C · 2 G in 10 GP · 10 GP2316%6.36
Maxim ShabanovMIN · RW · 2 G in 10 GP · 10 GP2114%6.98

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

All NHL goal scorer picks today

Who will win Seattle Kraken vs Minnesota Wild?

Minnesota Wild are the pick on the road against Seattle Kraken: a 53% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Seattle Kraken have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.6 and allowing 4.0 goals a game over that stretch. Minnesota Wild have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Seattle Kraken sit 3rd in the Western Conference, while Minnesota Wild sit 5th in the Western Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Seattle Kraken rate +0.17 and Minnesota Wild +0.20 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.03 goals to Minnesota Wild. Home ice is worth about 0.24 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Minnesota Wild 42% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 22%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Minnesota Wild at 55% on the moneyline across 2 bookmakers.

Our own lines for this game: Minnesota Wild −1.5 on the puck line (23%) and 6.5 total goals, with the under at 54% (6.2 projected).

Minnesota Wild to win, overtime and shootout included (53%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.