Detroit Red Wings vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction
Our pick
Detroit Red Wings to win
incl. overtime · fair odds 1.65 · projected 3–2
Detroit Red Wings are the pick at home against Chicago Blackhawks: a 61% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.
After 60 minutes
Game flow
DET 3.2 · CHI 2.6 expected goals in 60 minutes
Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).
Markets
- Moneyline (incl. overtime)Detroit Red Wings61%1.65
- Regulation result (60 minutes)Detroit Red Wings50%1.99
- Puck lineChicago Blackhawks +1.566%1.52
- Total goalsOver 5.552%1.92
- Both teams to scoreYes89%1.12
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Lines
Lines from the last game · may change
Detroit Red Wings
Last game: Oct 22
Forwards
- 1st line14 min together
- 2nd line10 min together
- 3rd line10 min together
- 4th line8 min together
Defence
- 1st pair15 min together
- 2nd pair13 min together20DJohanssonAlbert42DJohanssonAnton
- 3rd pair12 min together
Chicago Blackhawks
Last game: Oct 17
Forwards
- 1st line12 min together
- 2nd line9 min together
- 3rd line8 min together
- 4th line6 min together
Defence
- 1st pair14 min together
- 2nd pair11 min together
- 3rd pair12 min together
How we read the lines: from the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop.
Connor Bedard: Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0; Patrick Kane: Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0; Tyler Bertuzzi: TheAHL, CC BY 2.0; Teuvo Teräväinen: Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0; Ryan Donato: Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0; Frank Nazar: Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0; Oliver Moore: Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0; Jordan Greenway: Surveytrevor, CC BY-SA 4.0; Wyatt Kaiser: Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0; Artyom Levshunov: Trevor Cokley (U.S. Air Force Academy), Public domain; Alex Vlasic: Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0; Ian Cole: Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0; Sam Rinzel: SecretName101, CC BY 4.0; Ethan Del Mastro: TheAHL, CC BY 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons
Goalie duel
Projected
Goalie duelProjected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop
Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.
Photo credits: John Gibson: mark6mauno, CC BY-SA 2.0; Spencer Knight: Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons
Who scores
Anytime goal, overtime included
- Alex DeBrincatDET · RW · 6 G in 9 GP · 9 GP6634%2.94
- Emmitt FinnieDET · C · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4627%3.76
- Viktor ArvidssonDET · LW · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4325%4.00
- Lucas RaymondDET · LW · 3 G in 9 GP · 9 GP3524%4.15
- Roman KantserovCHI · RW · 3 G in 6 GP · 6 GP3322%4.50
Frank NazarCHI · C · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3221%4.87- William WallinderDET · D · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2118%5.57
Teuvo TeräväinenCHI · C · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2317%6.03
Ryan DonatoCHI · C · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2216%6.25
Tyler BertuzziCHI · LW · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2316%6.35
The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.
Photo credits: Frank Nazar: Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0; Teuvo Teräväinen: Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0; Ryan Donato: Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0; Tyler Bertuzzi: TheAHL, CC BY 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons
All NHL goal scorer picks todayWho will win Detroit Red Wings vs Chicago Blackhawks?
Detroit Red Wings are the pick at home against Chicago Blackhawks: a 61% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.
Detroit Red Wings have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.6 and allowing 3.0 goals a game over that stretch. Chicago Blackhawks have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 3.8 goals a game over that stretch.
Detroit Red Wings sit 10th in the Eastern Conference, while Chicago Blackhawks sit 14th in the Western Conference.
Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Detroit Red Wings rate −0.04 and Chicago Blackhawks −0.46 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.42 goals to Detroit Red Wings. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.
In regulation the model gives Detroit Red Wings 50% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 20%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.
Our own lines for this game: Detroit Red Wings −1.5 on the puck line (34%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 52% (6 projected).
Detroit Red Wings to win, overtime and shootout included (61%). Projected score: 3–2.
Team leaders
- Points
- Goals
- Assists
- Penalty minutes
Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (9 games per team); current squads only.
Photo credits: Patrick Kane: Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons
Recent form
W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
Also scheduled
Other games that day
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- · KHLCherepovets – Spartak Moscow53%
- · MestisIPK – KeuPa66%
- · MestisKettera – Pyry58%
- · MestisTUTO – K-Vantaa62%
- · SHLRogle – Malmö55%
- · SHLTimra – Växjö54%
- · SHLSkelleftea – Linköping70%
- · DELAugsburger Panther – Löwen Frankfurt53%
- · National LeagueLugano – Lausanne54%
- · AHLHamilton Hammers – Hartford Wolf Pack52%
