KHL

Niznekamsk vs Vladivostok prediction

Niznekamsk11–6–2 · Home Vladivostok7–7–3 · Away07:30 PMOct 29

57%win chance incl. overtime43%

Our pick

57%NIZ57%NIZ

Niznekamsk to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.75 · projected 3–2

Niznekamsk are the pick at home against Vladivostok: a 57% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

NIZNiznekamsk in 60'

46%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

VLAVladivostok in 60'

33%

Game flow

NIZ 2.7 · VLA 2.3 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.6–0.7

P2 · 0.9–0.7

P3 · 1.3–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Niznekamsk57%1.75
Regulation result (60 minutes)Niznekamsk46%2.16
Puck lineVladivostok +1.571%1.42
Total goalsUnder 5.561%1.63
Both teams to scoreYes85%1.18

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Niznekamsk

57%fair 1.75

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Niznekamsk

46%fair 2.16

Puck line

Vladivostok +1.5

71%fair 1.42

Total goals

Under 5.5

61%fair 1.63

Both teams to score

Yes

85%fair 1.18

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

A. BelozyorovNIZ · 9 G in 19 GP · 19 GP9329%3.46
A. CamaraVLA · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7124%4.20
D. ZhafyarovNIZ · 7 G in 19 GP · 19 GP7122%4.65
M. NadvornyNIZ · 6 G in 19 GP · 19 GP6120%4.98
I. MuranovVLA · 5 G in 16 GP · 16 GP5519%5.16
G. TochilkinNIZ · 5 G in 19 GP · 19 GP5319%5.20
R. BikmullinNIZ · 5 G in 19 GP · 19 GP5219%5.23
D. ZavgorodnyVLA · 3 G in 14 GP · 14 GP3215%6.66
A. VolkovVLA · 3 G in 15 GP · 15 GP3215%6.77
Y. ChezganovVLA · 4 G in 16 GP · 16 GP4214%7.11

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Niznekamsk vs Vladivostok?

Niznekamsk are the pick at home against Vladivostok: a 57% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Niznekamsk have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 2.4 goals a game over that stretch. Vladivostok have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 3.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Niznekamsk sit 2nd in the Eastern Conference, while Vladivostok sit 9th in the Eastern Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Niznekamsk rate +0.20 and Vladivostok −0.08 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.28 goals to Niznekamsk. Home ice is worth about 0.12 goals a game in this league.

About 21% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Niznekamsk win it in regulation only 46% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 57%.

These teams have met 2 times recently (Niznekamsk 2, Vladivostok 0); the latest finished Vladivostok 3–5 Niznekamsk on 2026-09-27.

Our own lines for this game: Niznekamsk −1.5 on the puck line (29%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 61% (5.2 projected).

Niznekamsk to win, overtime and shootout included (57%). Projected score: 3–2.