HockeyAllsvenskan

Vimmerby vs Modo prediction

Vimmerby4–7–2 · Home Modo10–2–2 · Away07:00 PMOct 30

46%win chance incl. overtime54%

Our pick

54%MOD54%MOD

Modo to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.84 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with Modo (54%) on the road against Vimmerby, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

VIMVimmerby in 60'

36%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

MODModo in 60'

44%

Game flow

VIM 2.7 · MOD 2.9 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.7–1.1

P2 · 1.0–0.5

P3 · 1.0–1.3

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Modo54%1.84
Regulation result (60 minutes)Modo44%2.28
Puck lineVimmerby +1.572%1.39
Total goalsUnder 5.551%1.95
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.13

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Modo

54%fair 1.84

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Modo

44%fair 2.28

Puck line

Vimmerby +1.5

72%fair 1.39

Total goals

Under 5.5

51%fair 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.13

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

E. RosenMOD · 6 G in 9 GP · 9 GP6634%2.98
C. MattssonMOD · 8 G in 14 GP · 14 GP8330%3.31
K. CarlssonVIM · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7529%3.44
M. KarlssonVIM · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7126%3.82
H. LejonVIM · 6 G in 13 GP · 13 GP6625%3.95
O. PetterssonMOD · 4 G in 8 GP · 8 GP4425%3.97
A. BergMOD · 4 G in 10 GP · 10 GP4322%4.52
E. HermanssonMOD · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4421%4.78
H. KarlssonVIM · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3015%6.82
K. WennstromVIM · 2 G in 10 GP · 10 GP2214%6.96

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Vimmerby vs Modo?

The numbers side with Modo (54%) on the road against Vimmerby, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Vimmerby have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch. Modo have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 3.8 and allowing 2.4 goals a game over that stretch.

Vimmerby sit 13th, while Modo sit 3rd.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Vimmerby rate −0.30 and Modo +0.19 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.49 goals to Modo. Home ice is worth about 0.23 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Modo 44% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 21%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Vimmerby 1, Modo 0); the latest finished Vimmerby 3–2 Modo on 2026-09-30.

Our own lines for this game: Modo −1.5 on the puck line (28%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 51% (5.8 projected).

Modo to win, overtime and shootout included (54%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.