HockeyAllsvenskan

BIK Karlskoga vs Nybro prediction

BIK Karlskoga5–6–3 · Home Nybro5–9–0 · Away07:00 PMOct 30

59%win chance incl. overtime41%

Our pick

59%BIK59%BIK

BIK Karlskoga to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.71 · projected 3–2

The numbers side with BIK Karlskoga (59%) at home against Nybro, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

BIKBIK Karlskoga in 60'

48%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

NYBNybro in 60'

31%

Game flow

BIK 2.9 · NYB 2.4 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–0.4

P2 · 0.9–0.9

P3 · 1.0–1.1

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)BIK Karlskoga59%1.71
Regulation result (60 minutes)BIK Karlskoga48%2.10
Puck lineNybro +1.569%1.45
Total goalsUnder 5.556%1.78
Both teams to scoreYes86%1.16

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

BIK Karlskoga

59%fair 1.71

Regulation result (60 minutes)

BIK Karlskoga

48%fair 2.10

Puck line

Nybro +1.5

69%fair 1.45

Total goals

Under 5.5

56%fair 1.78

Both teams to score

Yes

86%fair 1.16

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

L. OlvestadBIK · 4 G in 8 GP · 8 GP4327%3.70
J. EmanuelssonBIK · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4323%4.32
Z. WytinckNYB · 5 G in 14 GP · 14 GP5323%4.36
J. RohdinNYB · 5 G in 14 GP · 14 GP5522%4.56
T. JacobssonNYB · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4522%4.57
T. TreloarBIK · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4321%4.73
H. BjorklundBIK · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4120%4.98
O. HolmertzBIK · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3218%5.57
O. KandergardNYB · 3 G in 14 GP · 14 GP3215%6.55
E. StenmanNYB · 1 G in 8 GP · 8 GP1113%7.93

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win BIK Karlskoga vs Nybro?

The numbers side with BIK Karlskoga (59%) at home against Nybro, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

BIK Karlskoga have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 2.4 goals a game over that stretch. Nybro have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch.

BIK Karlskoga sit 8th, while Nybro sit 12th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, BIK Karlskoga rate −0.18 and Nybro −0.46 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.28 goals to BIK Karlskoga. Home ice is worth about 0.23 goals a game in this league.

About 21% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why BIK Karlskoga win it in regulation only 48% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 59%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (BIK Karlskoga 1, Nybro 0); the latest finished Nybro 0–1 BIK Karlskoga on 2026-09-23.

Our own lines for this game: BIK Karlskoga −1.5 on the puck line (31%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 56% (5.5 projected).

BIK Karlskoga to win, overtime and shootout included (59%). Projected score: 3–2.