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Iserlohn Roosters vs Schwenninger Wild Wings prediction

Iserlohn Roosters3–7–1 · Home Schwenninger Wild Wings5–6–1 · Away07:30 PMOct 30

52%win chance incl. overtime48%

Our pick

52%ISE52%ISE

Iserlohn Roosters to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.93 · projected 3–2

The numbers side with Iserlohn Roosters (52%) at home against Schwenninger Wild Wings, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

ISEIserlohn Roosters in 60'

42%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

SCHSchwenninger Wild Wings in 60'

39%

Game flow

ISE 3.0 · SCH 2.8 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–0.7

P2 · 0.9–1.0

P3 · 1.1–1.1

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Iserlohn Roosters52%1.93
Regulation result (60 minutes)Iserlohn Roosters42%2.37
Puck lineSchwenninger Wild Wings +1.573%1.37
Total goalsOver 5.552%1.92
Both teams to scoreYes89%1.12

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Iserlohn Roosters

52%fair 1.93

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Iserlohn Roosters

42%fair 2.37

Puck line

Schwenninger Wild Wings +1.5

73%fair 1.37

Total goals

Over 5.5

52%fair 1.92

Both teams to score

Yes

89%fair 1.12

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

M. HofflinSCH · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6529%3.44
P. FeistSCH · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5726%3.80
K. PlatzerSCH · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4524%4.11
J. NapravnikISE · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3322%4.48
C. ThomasISE · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3322%4.52
P. QuennevilleISE · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3422%4.56
T. BolandISE · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3321%4.75
C. UgbekileISE · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3420%4.96
H. HaneltSCH · 2 G in 9 GP · 9 GP2618%5.68
A. DziamborSCH · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2217%5.91

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Iserlohn Roosters vs Schwenninger Wild Wings?

The numbers side with Iserlohn Roosters (52%) at home against Schwenninger Wild Wings, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Iserlohn Roosters have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.8 and allowing 4.4 goals a game over that stretch. Schwenninger Wild Wings have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch.

Iserlohn Roosters sit 14th, while Schwenninger Wild Wings sit 10th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Iserlohn Roosters rate −0.54 and Schwenninger Wild Wings −0.35 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.19 goals to Schwenninger Wild Wings. Home ice is worth about 0.30 goals a game in this league.

About 19% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Iserlohn Roosters win it in regulation only 42% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 52%.

Our own lines for this game: Iserlohn Roosters −1.5 on the puck line (27%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 52% (6 projected).

Iserlohn Roosters to win, overtime and shootout included (52%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.