Czech Extraliga

Litvínov vs Vítkovice prediction

Litvínov5–6–1 · Home Vítkovice3–7–2 · Away05:30 PMOct 30

56%win chance incl. overtime44%

Our pick

56%LIT56%LIT

Litvínov to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.78 · projected 3–2

Litvínov are the pick at home against Vítkovice: a 56% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

LITLitvínov in 60'

46%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

VÍTVítkovice in 60'

34%

Game flow

LIT 2.8 · VÍT 2.4 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–0.8

P2 · 1.0–0.9

P3 · 0.8–0.8

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Litvínov56%1.78
Regulation result (60 minutes)Litvínov46%2.19
Puck lineVítkovice +1.571%1.41
Total goalsUnder 5.557%1.74
Both teams to scoreYes86%1.16

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Litvínov

56%fair 1.78

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Litvínov

46%fair 2.19

Puck line

Vítkovice +1.5

71%fair 1.41

Total goals

Under 5.5

57%fair 1.74

Both teams to score

Yes

86%fair 1.16

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

D. KampfLIT · 6 G in 13 GP · 13 GP6431%3.24
P. KoblasaLIT · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4122%4.58
O. KaseLIT · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4421%4.72
V. SamalLIT · 3 G in 9 GP · 9 GP3120%5.01
D. CiencialaVÍT · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3217%5.82
J. HladonikVÍT · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2116%6.11
C. YetmanVÍT · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3216%6.29
A. NellisVÍT · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3216%6.37
M. KalusVÍT · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3215%6.50
D. KaseLIT · 1 G in 5 GP · 5 GP1315%6.51

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Litvínov vs Vítkovice?

Litvínov are the pick at home against Vítkovice: a 56% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Litvínov have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 1.6 goals a game over that stretch. Vítkovice have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Litvínov sit 11th, while Vítkovice sit 13th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Litvínov rate −0.09 and Vítkovice −0.31 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.21 goals to Litvínov. Home ice is worth about 0.15 goals a game in this league.

About 21% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Litvínov win it in regulation only 46% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 56%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Litvínov 1, Vítkovice 0); the latest finished Vítkovice 2–3 Litvínov on 2026-09-20.

Our own lines for this game: Litvínov −1.5 on the puck line (29%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 57% (5.5 projected).

Litvínov to win, overtime and shootout included (56%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.