Czech Extraliga

Olomouc vs České Budějovice prediction

Olomouc3–10–0 · Home České Budějovice6–5–1 · Away06:00 PMOct 30

40%win chance incl. overtime60%

Our pick

60%ČES60%ČES

České Budějovice to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.66 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with České Budějovice (60%) on the road against Olomouc, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

OLOOlomouc in 60'

30%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

ČESČeské Budějovice in 60'

50%

Game flow

OLO 2.4 · ČES 3.0 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.6–0.9

P2 · 0.6–1.1

P3 · 1.2–1.1

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)České Budějovice60%1.66
Regulation result (60 minutes)České Budějovice50%2.00
Puck lineOlomouc +1.567%1.50
Total goalsUnder 5.553%1.87
Both teams to scoreYes87%1.15

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

České Budějovice

60%fair 1.66

Regulation result (60 minutes)

České Budějovice

50%fair 2.00

Puck line

Olomouc +1.5

67%fair 1.50

Total goals

Under 5.5

53%fair 1.87

Both teams to score

Yes

87%fair 1.15

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

N. OlesenČES · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7331%3.23
J. OrdosČES · 5 G in 10 GP · 10 GP5226%3.86
J. KosOLO · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4324%4.23
J. NavratilOLO · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4323%4.42
J. StencelČES · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4421%4.69
F. AhlČES · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3319%5.35
J. PourČES · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4019%5.39
K. J. PlasekOLO · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3016%6.29
P. GewieseOLO · 2 G in 13 GP · 13 GP2013%7.43
D. HercikOLO · 2 G in 13 GP · 13 GP2113%7.99

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (1)

N. Olesen · Rolandhino1, CC BY-SA 4.0

Who will win Olomouc vs České Budějovice?

The numbers side with České Budějovice (60%) on the road against Olomouc, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Olomouc have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 1.4 and allowing 3.4 goals a game over that stretch. České Budějovice have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.2 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch.

Olomouc sit 14th, while České Budějovice sit 5th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Olomouc rate −0.70 and České Budějovice +0.07 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.77 goals to České Budějovice. Home ice is worth about 0.15 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives České Budějovice 50% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 20%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Olomouc 0, České Budějovice 1); the latest finished České Budějovice 3–2 Olomouc on 2026-09-20.

Our own lines for this game: České Budějovice −1.5 on the puck line (33%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 53% (5.7 projected).

České Budějovice to win, overtime and shootout included (60%). Projected score: 3–2.