AHL

Coachella Valley Firebirds vs Henderson Silver Knights prediction

Coachella Valley Firebirds3–3–3 · Home Henderson Silver Knights4–2–0 · Away10:00 PMOct 30

43%win chance incl. overtime57%

Our pick

57%HEN57%HEN

Henderson Silver Knights to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.77 · projected 2–3

Henderson Silver Knights are the pick on the road against Coachella Valley Firebirds: a 57% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

COACoachella Valley Firebirds in 60'

34%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

HENHenderson Silver Knights in 60'

47%

Game flow

COA 2.8 · HEN 3.2 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.6–0.9

P2 · 0.9–1.6

P3 · 1.3–0.7

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Henderson Silver Knights57%1.77
Regulation result (60 minutes)Henderson Silver Knights47%2.15
Puck lineCoachella Valley Firebirds +1.569%1.45
Total goalsOver 5.554%1.85
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Henderson Silver Knights

57%fair 1.77

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Henderson Silver Knights

47%fair 2.15

Puck line

Coachella Valley Firebirds +1.5

69%fair 1.45

Total goals

Over 5.5

54%fair 1.85

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

J. NymanCOA · 9 G in 9 GP · 9 GP9437%2.70
J. AvonCOA · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4322%4.55
L. MorrisonCOA · 3 G in 7 GP · 7 GP3520%4.90
L. RoedCOA · 2 G in 6 GP · 6 GP2218%5.41
J. MiettinenCOA · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2417%5.84

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Coachella Valley Firebirds vs Henderson Silver Knights?

Henderson Silver Knights are the pick on the road against Coachella Valley Firebirds: a 57% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Coachella Valley Firebirds have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 4.6 goals a game over that stretch. Henderson Silver Knights have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 1.6 goals a game over that stretch.

Coachella Valley Firebirds sit 4th in the Pacific Division, while Henderson Silver Knights sit 5th in the Pacific Division.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Coachella Valley Firebirds rate −0.13 and Henderson Silver Knights +0.15 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.28 goals to Henderson Silver Knights. Home ice is worth about -0.12 goals a game in this league.

About 19% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Henderson Silver Knights win it in regulation only 47% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 57%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Coachella Valley Firebirds 0, Henderson Silver Knights 1); the latest finished Henderson Silver Knights 4–0 Coachella Valley Firebirds on 2026-10-15.

Our own lines for this game: Henderson Silver Knights −1.5 on the puck line (31%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 54% (6.1 projected).

Henderson Silver Knights to win, overtime and shootout included (57%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.