AHL

Cleveland Monsters vs Milwaukee Admirals prediction

Cleveland Monsters5–2–0 · Home Milwaukee Admirals4–1–0 · Away07:00 PMOct 30

46%win chance incl. overtime54%

Our pick

54%MIL54%MIL

Milwaukee Admirals to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.86 · projected 2–3

Milwaukee Admirals are the pick on the road against Cleveland Monsters: a 54% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

CLECleveland Monsters in 60'

37%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

MILMilwaukee Admirals in 60'

44%

Game flow

CLE 2.8 · MIL 3.0 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.1–0.8

P2 · 0.8–1.3

P3 · 0.9–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Milwaukee Admirals54%1.86
Regulation result (60 minutes)Milwaukee Admirals44%2.28
Puck lineCleveland Monsters +1.572%1.40
Total goalsOver 5.553%1.89
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Milwaukee Admirals

54%fair 1.86

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Milwaukee Admirals

44%fair 2.28

Puck line

Cleveland Monsters +1.5

72%fair 1.40

Total goals

Over 5.5

53%fair 1.89

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who will win Cleveland Monsters vs Milwaukee Admirals?

Milwaukee Admirals are the pick on the road against Cleveland Monsters: a 54% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Cleveland Monsters have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 4.0 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch. Milwaukee Admirals have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 1.8 goals a game over that stretch.

Cleveland Monsters sit 4th in the North Division, while Milwaukee Admirals sit 3rd in the Central Division.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Cleveland Monsters rate +0.02 and Milwaukee Admirals +0.14 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.11 goals to Milwaukee Admirals. Home ice is worth about -0.12 goals a game in this league.

About 20% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Milwaukee Admirals win it in regulation only 44% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 54%.

Our own lines for this game: Milwaukee Admirals −1.5 on the puck line (28%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 53% (6.1 projected).

Milwaukee Admirals to win, overtime and shootout included (54%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.