Deggendorf vs SC Riessersee prediction

Deggendorf are the pick to win at 78%, with a projected 3–2 final score.

Deggendorf arrive on a five-game winning run in which they have scored 5.6 goals a game and conceded 1.2. SC Riessersee have lost all five of their last five, scoring 1.4 and allowing 4.8 over the same stretch. The gap in recent output is stark, and it lines up with the table: Deggendorf are 1st, SC Riessersee 14th.

The ratings back up the standings. Adjusted for the opponents each side has faced, Deggendorf rate +1.13 goals per game against an average team and SC Riessersee −0.74, an edge of 1.87 goals to Deggendorf. Home ice adds about 0.10 goals a game in this league, which nudges the home side further ahead.

The model still leaves room for a tight finish. About 13% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, so Deggendorf win in regulation only 71% of the time on our numbers, with overtime and the shootout making up the rest of the 78%. That fits a projected 3–2 scoreline rather than a blowout.

The market agrees on the winner: Deggendorf are priced at 78% to come through, overtime and shootout included. SC Riessersee's case rests on the game staying close enough to reach the extra period, where the single-goal margin in the projection leaves them some room.

The projected 3–2 score sits below the 6.5 total, which is why the over is priced at 50% with 6.6 projected goals. On the puck line, Deggendorf −1.5 comes in at 56%, a reflection of a one-goal projection that leaves the cover far from certain. Both lines are close to even, so the model sees the winner more clearly than it sees the margin or the goals.

Deggendorf to win, overtime and shootout included, at 78%, with a projected score of 3–2.