Oberliga Süd

Erding vs Deggendorf prediction

Erding8–4–0 · Home Deggendorf10–1–1 · Away08:00 PMOct 30

35%win chance incl. overtime65%

Our pick

65%DEG65%DEG

Deggendorf to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.55 · projected 3–4

Deggendorf are the pick on the road against Erding: a 65% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 4–3 score.

After 60 minutes

ERDErding in 60'

28%

Tied → OTTied → OT

16%

DEGDeggendorf in 60'

56%

Game flow

ERD 3.0 · DEG 4.0 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–1.0

P2 · 1.0–1.7

P3 · 1.0–1.3

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Deggendorf65%1.55
Regulation result (60 minutes)Deggendorf56%1.79
Puck lineErding +1.559%1.69
Total goalsOver 6.558%1.71
Both teams to scoreYes93%1.07

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Deggendorf

65%fair 1.55

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Deggendorf

56%fair 1.79

Puck line

Erding +1.5

59%fair 1.69

Total goals

Over 6.5

58%fair 1.71

Both teams to score

Yes

93%fair 1.07

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who will win Erding vs Deggendorf?

Deggendorf are the pick on the road against Erding: a 65% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 4–3 score.

Erding have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch. Deggendorf have won 5 of their last 5, scoring 5.6 and allowing 1.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Erding sit 6th, while Deggendorf sit 1st.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Erding rate +0.02 and Deggendorf +1.11 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 1.09 goals to Deggendorf. Home ice is worth about 0.10 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Deggendorf 56% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 16%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Erding 1, Deggendorf 0); the latest finished Deggendorf 5–6 Erding on 2026-10-02.

Our own lines for this game: Deggendorf −1.5 on the puck line (41%) and 6.5 total goals, with the over at 58% (7.1 projected).

Deggendorf to win, overtime and shootout included (65%). Projected score: 4–3.