NHL

Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken prediction

Calgary Flames3–6–0 · Home Seattle Kraken7–3–1 · Away08:00 PMOct 30

42%win chance incl. overtime58%

Our pick

58%SEA58%SEA

Seattle Kraken to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.73 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with Seattle Kraken (58%) on the road against Calgary Flames, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

CALCalgary Flames in 60'

33%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

SEASeattle Kraken in 60'

48%

Game flow

CAL 2.9 · SEA 3.4 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–1.1

P2 · 0.7–1.0

P3 · 1.3–1.3

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Seattle Kraken58%1.73
Regulation result (60 minutes)Seattle Kraken48%2.10
Puck lineCalgary Flames +1.567%1.48
Total goalsOver 6.550%1.99
Both teams to scoreYes92%1.09

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Seattle Kraken

58%fair 1.73

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Seattle Kraken

48%fair 2.10

Puck line

Calgary Flames +1.5

67%fair 1.48

Total goals

Over 6.5

50%fair 1.99

Both teams to score

Yes

92%fair 1.09

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Lines

Lines from the last game · may change

Calgary Flames

Last game: Oct 22

32WolfProjected

JF86FarabeeLW

18JonesC MC27CoronatoRW

1st line

5:39 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
86	Joel Farabee LW	18:51	1	6	7
18	Ben Jones C	10:45	0	0	0
27	Matt Coronato RW	17:18	2	3	5

12 points this season

RS22StromeLW MP76PospíšilC MG92GridinRW

2nd line

7:07 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
22	Ryan Strome LW	15:19	1	2	3
76	Martin Pospíšil C	15:46	1	1	2
92	Matvei Gridin RW	14:57	1	2	3

8 points this season

AS61SunievLW YS17SharangovichC MF16FrostRW

3rd line

5:05 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
61	Aydar Suniev LW	11:58	3	1	4
17	Yegor Sharangovich C	17:58	2	2	4
16	Morgan Frost RW	13:19	3	2	5

13 points this season

78OthmannLW JC38CastagnaC AK43KlapkaRW

4th line

7:05 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
78	Brennan Othmann LW	12:06	0	0	0
38	Jonathan Castagna C	18:28	0	1	1
43	Adam Klapka RW	11:09	2	1	3

4 points this season

KB7BahlD ŠN71NemecD

1st pair

13:10 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
7	Kevin Bahl D	23:48	1	0	1
71	Šimon Nemec D	21:56	0	2	2

3 points this season

28WhitecloudD JM55MiddletonD

2nd pair

10:49 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
28	Zach Whitecloud D	21:22	0	0	0
55	Jake Middleton D	19:39	1	1	2

2 points this season

ZP19ParekhD YK37KuznetsovD

3rd pair

8:22 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
19	Zayne Parekh D	15:37	0	2	2
37	Yan Kuznetsov D	13:47	0	1	1

3 points this season

JF86FarabeeF MC27CoronatoF MG92GridinF

MF16FrostF ZP19ParekhD

Power play unit 1

4:05 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
86	Joel Farabee F	18:51	1	6	7
27	Matt Coronato F	17:18	2	3	5
92	Matvei Gridin F	14:57	1	2	3
16	Morgan Frost F	13:19	3	2	5
19	Zayne Parekh D	15:37	0	2	2

22 points this season

YS17SharangovichF RS22StromeF AS61SunievF

AK43KlapkaF ŠN71NemecD

Power play unit 2

1:25 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
17	Yegor Sharangovich F	17:58	2	2	4
22	Ryan Strome F	15:19	1	2	3
61	Aydar Suniev F	11:58	3	1	4
43	Adam Klapka F	11:09	2	1	3
71	Šimon Nemec D	21:56	0	2	2

16 points this season

JF86FarabeeF MP76PospíšilF

28WhitecloudD JM55MiddletonD

Penalty kill unit 1

1:56 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
86	Joel Farabee F	18:51	1	6	7
76	Martin Pospíšil F	15:46	1	1	2
28	Zach Whitecloud D	21:22	0	0	0
55	Jake Middleton D	19:39	1	1	2

11 points this season

JC38CastagnaF YS17SharangovichF

KB7BahlD YK37KuznetsovD

Penalty kill unit 2

1:14 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
38	Jonathan Castagna F	18:28	0	1	1
17	Yegor Sharangovich F	17:58	2	2	4
7	Kevin Bahl D	23:48	1	0	1
37	Yan Kuznetsov D	13:47	0	1	1

7 points this season

Goalies: Dustin Wolf #32 (Projected) · Devin Cooley #1 (Backup)

Seattle Kraken

Last game: Oct 22

PG31GrubauerProjected

JM19McCannLW MB10BeniersC JE7EberleRW

1st line

10:15 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
19	Jared McCann LW	16:42	3	5	8
10	Matty Beniers C	18:42	3	2	5
7	Jordan Eberle RW	18:19	4	5	9

22 points this season

CS9StephensonLW BM74McMannC MS11SamoskevichRW

2nd line

9:05 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
9	Chandler Stephenson LW	16:37	1	8	9
74	Bobby McMann C	17:02	3	2	5
11	Mackie Samoskevich RW	12:44	5	1	6

20 points this season

BM59MeyersLW FG89GaudreauC RW26WintertonRW

3rd line

9:03 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
59	Ben Meyers LW	13:07	1	4	5
89	Frederick Gaudreau C	15:25	6	2	8
26	Ryan Winterton RW	11:58	2	4	6

19 points this season

SW51WrightLW BC27CattonC KK84KakkoRW

4th line

8:38 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
51	Shane Wright LW	11:34	3	1	4
27	Berkly Catton C	14:26	2	6	8
84	Kaapo Kakko RW	13:22	2	7	9

21 points this season

BM62MontourD RE41EvansD

1st pair

16:12 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
62	Brandon Montour D	27:21	2	6	8
41	Ryker Evans D	22:33	2	4	6

14 points this season

VD29DunnD AL6LarssonD

2nd pair

17:52 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
29	Vince Dunn D	25:53	2	6	8
6	Adam Larsson D	22:26	0	2	2

10 points this season

JM28MahuraD VO46OttavainenD

3rd pair

7:26 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
28	Josh Mahura D	10:18	0	2	2
46	Ville Ottavainen D	7:51	1	0	1

3 points this season

JE7EberleF BM74McMannF JM19McCannF

CS9StephensonF VD29DunnD

Power play unit 1

2:05 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
7	Jordan Eberle F	18:19	4	5	9
74	Bobby McMann F	17:02	3	2	5
19	Jared McCann F	16:42	3	5	8
9	Chandler Stephenson F	16:37	1	8	9
29	Vince Dunn D	25:53	2	6	8

39 points this season

MB10BeniersF BC27CattonF KK84KakkoF

MS11SamoskevichF BM62MontourD

Power play unit 2

1:31 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
10	Matty Beniers F	18:42	3	2	5
27	Berkly Catton F	14:26	2	6	8
84	Kaapo Kakko F	13:22	2	7	9
11	Mackie Samoskevich F	12:44	5	1	6
62	Brandon Montour D	27:21	2	6	8

36 points this season

FG89GaudreauF BM59MeyersF

VD29DunnD AL6LarssonD

Penalty kill unit 1

1:10 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
89	Frederick Gaudreau F	15:25	6	2	8
59	Ben Meyers F	13:07	1	4	5
29	Vince Dunn D	25:53	2	6	8
6	Adam Larsson D	22:26	0	2	2

23 points this season

MB10BeniersF RW26WintertonF

BM62MontourD RE41EvansD

Penalty kill unit 2

0:40 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
10	Matty Beniers F	18:42	3	2	5
26	Ryan Winterton F	11:58	2	4	6
62	Brandon Montour D	27:21	2	6	8
41	Ryker Evans D	22:33	2	4	6

25 points this season

Goalies: Philipp Grubauer #31 (Projected) · Joey Daccord #35 (Backup)

Swipe the rink to switch units

How we read the lines

From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.

Photo credits (5)

Ben Jones · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
Brennan Othmann · JTB65, CC BY-SA 4.0
Zach Whitecloud · Lakeland PBS, CC BY 3.0
Devin Cooley · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Dustin Wolf · MTG1989, CC BY-SA 4.0

Goalie duel

Projected

Projected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop

Dustin Wolf CAL

.834 save percentage

4.85 GAA · 1–4–0 · 5 starts

Philipp Grubauer SEA

.907 save percentage

2.76 GAA · 4–1–1 · 6 starts

Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.

Photo credits: Dustin Wolf: MTG1989, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

Frederick GaudreauSEA · C · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6330%3.36
Mackie SamoskevichSEA · RW · 5 G in 9 GP · 9 GP5328%3.53
Aydar SunievCAL · LW · 3 G in 5 GP · 5 GP3426%3.82
Morgan FrostCAL · C · 3 G in 7 GP · 7 GP3423%4.26
Jordan EberleSEA · RW · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4422%4.54
Matty BeniersSEA · C · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3219%5.25
Yegor SharangovichCAL · C · 2 G in 9 GP · 9 GP2219%5.37
Bobby McMannSEA · C · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3219%5.38
Matt CoronatoCAL · RW · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2418%5.63
Adam KlapkaCAL · RW · 2 G in 9 GP · 9 GP2218%5.66

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

All NHL goal scorer picks today

Who will win Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken?

The numbers side with Seattle Kraken (58%) on the road against Calgary Flames, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Calgary Flames have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 3.0 goals a game over that stretch. Seattle Kraken have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.6 and allowing 4.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Calgary Flames sit 15th in the Western Conference, while Seattle Kraken sit 3rd in the Western Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Calgary Flames rate −0.58 and Seattle Kraken +0.17 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.75 goals to Seattle Kraken. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.

About 19% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Seattle Kraken win it in regulation only 48% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 58%.

These teams have met 4 times recently (Calgary Flames 0, Seattle Kraken 4); the latest finished Seattle Kraken 6–1 Calgary Flames on 2026-10-05.

Our own lines for this game: Seattle Kraken −1.5 on the puck line (33%) and 6.5 total goals, with the over at 50% (6.5 projected).

Seattle Kraken to win, overtime and shootout included (58%). Projected score: 3–2.

Team leaders

Calgary FlamesThis seasonSeattle Kraken

Points
Joel Farabee8 games7 Jordan Eberle9 games9
Goals
Morgan Frost4 games3 Frederick Gaudreau6 games6
Assists
Joel Farabee8 games6 Chandler Stephenson9 games8
Penalty minutes
Zayne Parekh6 games12 Ryan Winterton7 games9

Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (9 games per team); current squads only.

Recent form

Calgary Flames

W2–1 W3–2 L2–6 W4–2 L2–4

Seattle Kraken

W5–3 W4–3 L3–8 OTL3–4 W3–2

W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation

Head to head

Oct 4Seattle Kraken 6–1 Calgary Flames
Oct 1Calgary Flames 1–6 Seattle Kraken
Sep 24Seattle Kraken 4–3 Calgary Flames
Sep 20Calgary Flames 2–4 Seattle Kraken

Also scheduled

Wednesday, November 4

10:00 PM
Seattle Kraken
Calgary Flames
Prediction coming soon

Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken prediction

Our pick

Game flow

Markets

Lines

Goalie duel

Who scores

Who will win Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken?

Team leaders

Recent form

Head to head

Also scheduled

Wednesday, November 4

Other games that day