Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks prediction
Our pick
Anaheim Ducks to win
incl. overtime · fair odds 1.70 · projected 3–2
Anaheim Ducks are the pick at home against Vancouver Canucks: a 59% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.
After 60 minutes
Game flow
ANA 3.6 · VAN 3.0 expected goals in 60 minutesOur model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).
Markets
- Moneyline (incl. overtime)Anaheim Ducks59%1.70
- Regulation result (60 minutes)Anaheim Ducks49%2.05
- Puck lineVancouver Canucks +1.566%1.51
- Total goalsOver 6.553%1.88
- Both teams to scoreYes93%1.08
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Lines
Lines from the last game · may changeAnaheim Ducks
Last game: Oct 24
1st line
6:11 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier LW | 16:01 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 91 | Leo Carlsson C | 17:34 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| 28 | Judd Caulfield RW | 10:00 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
21 points this season
2nd line
5:48 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | Jeff Malott LW | 7:26 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 64 | Mikael Granlund C | 17:37 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke RW | 14:51 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
20 points this season
3rd line
4:17 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | A.J. Greer LW | 7:41 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 42 | Tim Washe C | 11:58 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sam Colangelo RW | 7:42 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
12 points this season
4th line
3:33 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Alex Killorn LW | 11:43 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Nikita Nesterenko C | 9:44 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 95 | Roger McQueen RW | 5:14 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 points this season
1st pair
10:25 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe D | 19:37 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 47 | Noah Warren D | 13:52 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
10 points this season
2nd pair
6:37 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Travis Mitchell D | 16:21 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 67 | Tristan Luneau D | 13:55 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
6 points this season
3rd pair
4:01 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Drew Helleson D | 14:32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 55 | Tyson Hinds D | 10:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0 points this season
Power play unit 1
2:44 together on the power play
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | Mikael Granlund F | 17:37 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 91 | Leo Carlsson F | 17:34 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier F | 16:01 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke F | 14:51 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe D | 19:37 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
41 points this season
Power play unit 2
0:48 together on the power play
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Alex Killorn F | 11:43 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| 28 | Judd Caulfield F | 10:00 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Nikita Nesterenko F | 9:44 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Sam Colangelo F | 7:42 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 67 | Tristan Luneau D | 13:55 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
19 points this season
Penalty kill unit 1
1:49 together on the penalty kill
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | Mikael Granlund F | 17:37 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn F | 11:43 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| 34 | Travis Mitchell D | 16:21 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Drew Helleson D | 14:32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 points this season
Penalty kill unit 2
0:49 together on the penalty kill
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | Tim Washe F | 11:58 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Nikita Nesterenko F | 9:44 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Drew Helleson D | 14:32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 55 | Tyson Hinds D | 10:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 points this season
Goalies: Lukas Dostal #1 (Projected) · Ville Husso #33 (Backup)
Vancouver Canucks
Last game: Oct 22
1st line
9:28 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk LW | 17:52 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 77 | Filip Chytil C | 20:32 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 88 | Jonathan Lekkerimäki RW | 17:44 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
18 points this season
2nd line
11:52 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Drew O'Connor LW | 16:49 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 40 | Elias Pettersson C | 20:48 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson RW | 17:13 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
23 points this season
3rd line
8:41 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Arshdeep Bains LW | 11:18 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 63 | Max Sasson C | 13:23 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher RW | 10:29 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
9 points this season
4th line
4:41 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | Paul Cotter LW | 11:13 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 23 | Marco Rossi C | 9:38 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Brock Boeser RW | 14:09 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
20 points this season
1st pair
16:08 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Filip Hronek D | 24:26 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 25 | Elias Pettersson D | 20:10 | – | – | – |
2nd pair
12:50 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tom Willander D | 21:18 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Zeev Buium D | 20:57 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
6 points this season
3rd pair
4:55 together at 5-on-5
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak D | 15:09 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 90 | Victor Mancini D | 11:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 points this season
Power play unit 1
3:51 together on the power play
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | Elias Pettersson F | 20:48 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk F | 17:52 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 88 | Jonathan Lekkerimäki F | 17:44 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Brock Boeser F | 14:09 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Filip Hronek D | 24:26 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
43 points this season
Power play unit 2
1:31 together on the power play
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | Filip Chytil F | 20:32 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson F | 17:13 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter F | 11:13 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 23 | Marco Rossi F | 9:38 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Zeev Buium D | 20:57 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
25 points this season
Penalty kill unit 1
1:06 together on the penalty kill
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | Filip Chytil F | 20:32 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 63 | Max Sasson F | 13:23 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak D | 15:09 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 90 | Victor Mancini D | 11:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 points this season
Penalty kill unit 2
0:30 together on the penalty kill
| # | Player | TOI | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | Elias Pettersson F | 20:48 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brock Boeser F | 14:09 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Filip Hronek D | 24:26 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 25 | Elias Pettersson D | 20:10 | – | – | – |
Goalies: Kevin Lankinen #32 (Projected) · Leevi Meriläinen #31 (Backup)
Swipe the rink to switch units
How we read the lines
From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.
Photo credits (15)
- Cutter Gauthier · Sandro Halank , Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Leo Carlsson · Pwinger, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Jeff Malott · Kenneth C. Zirkel, CC BY 4.0
- Mikael Granlund · Lorie Shaull, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Beckett Sennecke · Sewageboy, CC BY-SA 4.0
- A.J. Greer · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
- Sam Colangelo · Mike Zitek/AHL, CC BY 2.0
- Alex Killorn · Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 3.0
- Jackson LaCombe · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Travis Mitchell · TheAHL, CC BY 4.0
- Lukáš Dostál · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.5
- Ville Husso · Fabien Perissinotto, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Elias Pettersson · Matt.davs, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Kevin Lankinen · HickoryOughtShirt?4, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Leevi Meriläinen · Hockeywithry, CC BY 4.0
Goalie duel
ProjectedProjected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop
Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.
Photo credits (2)
- Lukas Dostal · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.5
- Kevin Lankinen · HickoryOughtShirt?4, CC BY-SA 4.0
Who scores
Anytime goal, overtime included
Beckett SenneckeANA · RW · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6234%2.97- Jonathan LekkerimäkiVAN · RW · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4423%4.42
- Tim WasheANA · C · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3323%4.44
Elias PetterssonVAN · C · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4422%4.51
Leo CarlssonANA · C · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3322%4.54
Frank VatranoANA · RW · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2221%4.69
Cutter GauthierANA · LW · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3321%4.77- Linus KarlssonVAN · C · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3320%5.08
- Paul CotterVAN · LW · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4119%5.21
- Max SassonVAN · C · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3219%5.40
The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.
Photo credits (5)
- Beckett Sennecke · Sewageboy, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Elias Pettersson · Matt.davs, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Leo Carlsson · Pwinger, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Frank Vatrano · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Cutter Gauthier · Sandro Halank , Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Who will win Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks?
Anaheim Ducks are the pick at home against Vancouver Canucks: a 59% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.
Anaheim Ducks have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 4.0 goals a game over that stretch. Vancouver Canucks have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 4.2 goals a game over that stretch.
Anaheim Ducks sit 12th in the Western Conference, while Vancouver Canucks sit 16th in the Western Conference.
Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Anaheim Ducks rate −0.24 and Vancouver Canucks −0.57 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.33 goals to Anaheim Ducks. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.
About 19% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Anaheim Ducks win it in regulation only 49% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 59%.
Our own lines for this game: Anaheim Ducks −1.5 on the puck line (34%) and 6.5 total goals, with the over at 53% (6.7 projected).
Anaheim Ducks to win, overtime and shootout included (59%). Projected score: 3–2.
Team leaders
- Points
- Goals
- Assists
- Penalty minutes
Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (11 games per team); current squads only.
Photo credits (4)
- Leo Carlsson · Pwinger, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Beckett Sennecke · Sewageboy, CC BY-SA 4.0
- A.J. Greer · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
- Elias Pettersson · Matt.davs, CC BY-SA 4.0
Recent form
W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
Also scheduled
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