Liiga

Pelicans vs Kiekko-Espoo prediction

Pelicans6–6–1 · Home Kiekko-Espoo7–6–3 · Away05:00 PMOct 31

53%win chance incl. overtime47%

Our pick

53%PEL53%PEL

Pelicans to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.90 · projected 3–2

Pelicans are the pick at home against Kiekko-Espoo: a 53% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

PELPelicans in 60'

42%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

KIEKiekko-Espoo in 60'

37%

Game flow

PEL 2.5 · KIE 2.4 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–0.8

P2 · 0.5–0.7

P3 · 1.1–0.8

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Pelicans53%1.90
Regulation result (60 minutes)Pelicans42%2.39
Puck lineKiekko-Espoo +1.575%1.34
Total goalsOver 4.562%1.61
Both teams to scoreYes84%1.19

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Pelicans

53%fair 1.90

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Pelicans

42%fair 2.39

Puck line

Kiekko-Espoo +1.5

75%fair 1.34

Total goals

Over 4.5

62%fair 1.61

Both teams to score

Yes

84%fair 1.19

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

J. VaisanenKIE · 7 G in 15 GP · 15 GP7623%4.26
A. DudasPEL · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5523%4.30
L. SvejkovskyKIE · 8 G in 17 GP · 17 GP8123%4.42
G. FortierPEL · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3220%5.08
M. FromKIE · 6 G in 17 GP · 17 GP6420%5.12
L. ObergKIE · 5 G in 17 GP · 17 GP5519%5.22
O. LindPEL · 2 G in 6 GP · 6 GP2318%5.56
M. NutivaaraPEL · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3317%5.95
A. KettunenPEL · 3 G in 14 GP · 14 GP3216%6.37
J. SallinenKIE · 4 G in 16 GP · 16 GP4015%6.86

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Pelicans vs Kiekko-Espoo?

Pelicans are the pick at home against Kiekko-Espoo: a 53% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Pelicans have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch. Kiekko-Espoo have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch.

Pelicans sit 12th, while Kiekko-Espoo sit 9th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Pelicans rate −0.03 and Kiekko-Espoo +0.13 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.16 goals to Kiekko-Espoo. Home ice is worth about 0.31 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Pelicans 42% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 21%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Pelicans 1, Kiekko-Espoo 0); the latest finished Kiekko-Espoo 1–2 Pelicans on 2026-09-05.

Our own lines for this game: Pelicans −1.5 on the puck line (25%) and 4.5 total goals, with the over at 62% (5.2 projected).

Pelicans to win, overtime and shootout included (53%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.