HockeyAllsvenskan

Visby/Roma vs Sodertalje prediction

Visby/Roma3–10–1 · Home Sodertalje8–4–2 · Away07:00 PMOct 30

37%win chance incl. overtime63%

Our pick

63%SOD63%SOD

Sodertalje to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.59 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with Sodertalje (63%) on the road against Visby/Roma, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

VISVisby/Roma in 60'

28%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

SODSodertalje in 60'

53%

Game flow

VIS 2.4 · SOD 3.2 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–1.0

P2 · 0.7–1.2

P3 · 0.7–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Sodertalje63%1.59
Regulation result (60 minutes)Sodertalje53%1.90
Puck lineVisby/Roma +1.564%1.57
Total goalsUnder 5.550%1.99
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.14

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Sodertalje

63%fair 1.59

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Sodertalje

53%fair 1.90

Puck line

Visby/Roma +1.5

64%fair 1.57

Total goals

Under 5.5

50%fair 1.99

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.14

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

C. SouchSOD · 10 G in 13 GP · 13 GP10638%2.61
J. LiuksialaVIS · 5 G in 14 GP · 14 GP5423%4.34
A. VanderbeckSOD · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4322%4.55
D. Muzito-BagendaSOD · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4321%4.73
J. DahlstromVIS · 4 G in 12 GP · 12 GP4319%5.13
D. NorbeSOD · 4 G in 13 GP · 13 GP4319%5.25
J. IkonenSOD · 3 G in 13 GP · 13 GP3219%5.36
G. EstephanVIS · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4119%5.36
A. ThelanderVIS · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3318%5.53
E. LindstromVIS · 3 G in 14 GP · 14 GP3216%6.12

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Visby/Roma vs Sodertalje?

The numbers side with Sodertalje (63%) on the road against Visby/Roma, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Visby/Roma have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 1.8 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch. Sodertalje have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 2.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Visby/Roma sit 14th, while Sodertalje sit 5th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Visby/Roma rate −0.72 and Sodertalje +0.32 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 1.03 goals to Sodertalje. Home ice is worth about 0.23 goals a game in this league.

About 20% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Sodertalje win it in regulation only 53% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 63%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Visby/Roma 0, Sodertalje 1); the latest finished Sodertalje 6–2 Visby/Roma on 2026-09-20.

Our own lines for this game: Sodertalje −1.5 on the puck line (36%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 50% (5.9 projected).

Sodertalje to win, overtime and shootout included (63%). Projected score: 3–2.