HockeyAllsvenskan

Oskarshamn vs Östersund prediction

Oskarshamn8–6–1 · Home Östersund6–5–3 · Away07:00 PMOct 30

58%win chance incl. overtime42%

Our pick

58%OSK58%OSK

Oskarshamn to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.71 · projected 3–2

Oskarshamn are the pick at home against Östersund: a 58% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

OSKOskarshamn in 60'

48%

Tied → OTTied → OT

20%

ÖSTÖstersund in 60'

32%

Game flow

OSK 3.2 · ÖST 2.7 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.2–0.5

P2 · 0.8–1.2

P3 · 1.3–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Oskarshamn58%1.71
Regulation result (60 minutes)Oskarshamn48%2.07
Puck lineÖstersund +1.567%1.48
Total goalsOver 5.555%1.83
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Oskarshamn

58%fair 1.71

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Oskarshamn

48%fair 2.07

Puck line

Östersund +1.5

67%fair 1.48

Total goals

Over 5.5

55%fair 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

J. SvenssonOSK · 12 G in 15 GP · 15 GP12840%2.52
A. KlintÖST · 7 G in 14 GP · 14 GP7228%3.64
A. LjungkrantzÖST · 3 G in 5 GP · 5 GP3326%3.87
L. NijhoffÖST · 3 G in 5 GP · 5 GP3525%4.02
C. KarlssonOSK · 7 G in 15 GP · 15 GP7325%4.06
D. DzhanlyevOSK · 5 G in 13 GP · 13 GP5723%4.41
B. BudgellÖST · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3521%4.82
M. BrownOSK · 4 G in 15 GP · 15 GP4520%5.04
M. SemjonovsÖST · 4 G in 14 GP · 14 GP4320%5.05
V. SvenssonOSK · 4 G in 15 GP · 15 GP4419%5.24

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Oskarshamn vs Östersund?

Oskarshamn are the pick at home against Östersund: a 58% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Oskarshamn have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 4.2 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch. Östersund have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 3.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Oskarshamn sit 6th, while Östersund sit 10th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Oskarshamn rate +0.10 and Östersund −0.20 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.30 goals to Oskarshamn. Home ice is worth about 0.23 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Oskarshamn 48% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 20%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Oskarshamn 1, Östersund 0); the latest finished Oskarshamn 4–1 Östersund on 2026-09-25.

Our own lines for this game: Oskarshamn −1.5 on the puck line (33%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 55% (6.1 projected).

Oskarshamn to win, overtime and shootout included (58%). Projected score: 3–2.