Oberliga Süd

Heilbronner Falken vs SC Riessersee prediction

Heilbronner Falken9–2–1 · Home SC Riessersee2–9–1 · Away07:30 PMOct 30

67%win chance incl. overtime33%

Our pick

67%HEI67%HEI

Heilbronner Falken to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.49 · projected 3–2

Heilbronner Falken are the pick at home against SC Riessersee: a 67% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

HEIHeilbronner Falken in 60'

58%

Tied → OTTied → OT

17%

RIESC Riessersee in 60'

25%

Game flow

HEI 3.6 · RIE 2.5 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.8–0.8

P2 · 1.5–0.6

P3 · 1.4–1.2

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Heilbronner Falken67%1.49
Regulation result (60 minutes)Heilbronner Falken58%1.72
Puck lineSC Riessersee +1.558%1.73
Total goalsUnder 6.553%1.88
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Heilbronner Falken

67%fair 1.49

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Heilbronner Falken

58%fair 1.72

Puck line

SC Riessersee +1.5

58%fair 1.73

Total goals

Under 6.5

53%fair 1.88

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who will win Heilbronner Falken vs SC Riessersee?

Heilbronner Falken are the pick at home against SC Riessersee: a 67% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

Heilbronner Falken have won 5 of their last 5, scoring 3.8 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch. SC Riessersee have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 1.4 and allowing 4.8 goals a game over that stretch.

Heilbronner Falken sit 4th, while SC Riessersee sit 14th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Heilbronner Falken rate +0.28 and SC Riessersee −0.73 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 1.01 goals to Heilbronner Falken. Home ice is worth about 0.10 goals a game in this league.

About 17% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Heilbronner Falken win it in regulation only 58% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 67%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Heilbronner Falken 1, SC Riessersee 0); the latest finished SC Riessersee 1–3 Heilbronner Falken on 2026-09-27.

Our own lines for this game: Heilbronner Falken −1.5 on the puck line (42%) and 6.5 total goals, with the under at 53% (6.3 projected).

Heilbronner Falken to win, overtime and shootout included (67%). Projected score: 3–2.