Oberliga Süd

HC Tigers vs Stuttgart prediction

HC Tigers5–5–2 · Home Stuttgart4–7–1 · Away07:30 PMOct 30

53%win chance incl. overtime47%

Our pick

53%TIG53%TIG

HC Tigers to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.90 · projected 4–3

HC Tigers are the pick at home against Stuttgart: a 53% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 4–3 score.

After 60 minutes

TIGHC Tigers in 60'

44%

Tied → OTTied → OT

18%

STUStuttgart in 60'

39%

Game flow

TIG 3.5 · STU 3.3 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–0.7

P2 · 0.9–1.6

P3 · 1.6–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)HC Tigers53%1.90
Regulation result (60 minutes)HC Tigers44%2.29
Puck lineStuttgart +1.571%1.41
Total goalsOver 6.556%1.78
Both teams to scoreYes93%1.07

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

HC Tigers

53%fair 1.90

Regulation result (60 minutes)

HC Tigers

44%fair 2.29

Puck line

Stuttgart +1.5

71%fair 1.41

Total goals

Over 6.5

56%fair 1.78

Both teams to score

Yes

93%fair 1.07

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who will win HC Tigers vs Stuttgart?

HC Tigers are the pick at home against Stuttgart: a 53% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 4–3 score.

HC Tigers have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 1.4 and allowing 4.8 goals a game over that stretch. Stuttgart have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 4.0 goals a game over that stretch.

HC Tigers sit 7th, while Stuttgart sit 10th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, HC Tigers rate −0.24 and Stuttgart −0.31 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.07 goals to HC Tigers. Home ice is worth about 0.10 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives HC Tigers 44% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 18%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (HC Tigers 1, Stuttgart 0); the latest finished Stuttgart 3–4 HC Tigers on 2026-09-20.

Our own lines for this game: HC Tigers −1.5 on the puck line (29%) and 6.5 total goals, with the over at 56% (6.9 projected).

HC Tigers to win, overtime and shootout included (53%). Projected score: 4–3. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.